Early Civilizations and Bible Chronology

by xelder 109 Replies latest watchtower beliefs

  • Etude
    Etude

    Miles3, what definitive study clearly demonstrates that C14 does not contaminate previously living organisms? I realize that's the conclusion you're reaching and one that appears to be accepted by experts. But, I for the most part am sincerily curious to know how that's arrived at and the little bit that isn't so curious casts doubt for me by the fact that there is contamination in the first place. I'm not sure exactly what "contamination" means, but whatever it is seems to indicate that C14 dating can be prone to error, at times significant error. Also, the idea that because calibration was done in some part of the world at some time, does not automatically makes us assume that conditions are the same in another part of the world where the speciment being dated is found. For dating with C14 to really work to the exclusion of variants, calibration to test an item would have to be done each and every time (or at least often and close enough) to determine that the specimen really belongs to its environment (hence its local period of time).

    Etude.

  • Leolaia
    Leolaia

    Hi Etude.

    I once asked an archaeologist I served on jury duty with how accurate C14 dating was....Her answer was: "I'm sure they calibrate that somehow." Well needless to say, that was not a very satisfying answer.

    Individual archaeologists may not necessarily be familiar with the particulars of radiocarbon dating. The discipline is very diverse and filled with specialists who are experts in their own fields. Archaeometry is itself a subspecialty and the 14C analysis is carried out in designated laboratories.

    I mentioned my concern about how the carbon got into the specimen in the first place, especially in formerly living organisms (not just layers of rock). I asked how we were able to determine if the C14 being measured was the C14 absorbed while the tree was alive or if the C14 seeped into the tree years later after it fell and was inundated with water and C14-laden air or was deposited along with other minerals in some dinosaur bone before either was petrified.

    My understanding is that 14C enters into organic tissue through metabolic processes, first in phototrophic organisms and then secondarily through the food chain. The exchange of 14C occurs throughout an organism's life until metabolism ceases, at which point absorption stops. In general there is no statistically significant uptake after death through simple exposure to background radiation since 14C in background radiation is several orders of magnitude lower than the levels it is found in living tissue; organic processes concentrate radioactive isotopes in tissue at levels far higher than what exists in the environment (which is why there is a higher risk of long-term radiation poisoning from eating food grown and raised in places contaminated with radiation). In samples older than 57,000 years, only a tenth of one percent of the original amount of C14 remains in organic matter, which approaches the levels found in background radiation. So for the vast majority of samples, such as wood or plant remains within the past five thousand years, exposure to background radiation has no statistically significant effect on 14C levels in organic materials. The main exception to this are samples contaminated either by more recent organic matter or those buried in "14C-producing environments" where higher levels of 14C (higher than normal background radiation) occur naturally through geological processes. Contamination is minimized through careful selection of samples (as potential for contamination can be recognized from the archaeological or geological context), cleaning of samples at the laboratory, and the identification of outliers through sample replication from multiple sample points, cross-dating, and calibration, among other things. The high level of consistency of radiocarbon dating makes the identification of outliers rather trivial in many cases. For instance, here are some real uncal BP dates from Akhenaten's reign (ca. 1353–1336 BC) via samples obtained from Tell el-Amarna....can you find the outlier??

    uncal BP dates for Akhenaten: 3051±27 BP, 3064±28 BP, 3082±29 BP, 2862±26 BP, 3096±38 BP, 3092±27 BP, 3094±37 BP, 3070±37 BP

    Everything here except for 2862±26 BP agrees within a narrow range, between 3051 and 3096, which is remarkable considering that Akhenaten had a 17-year reign. Note also that the outlier is much younger than the other ages. Contamination with newer organic material would usually not produce older ages (which is what anti-science denialists wish to explain away through contamination), but rather make samples seem too young. Then the other samples can be averaged together to produce a more accurate uncalibrated date. But even going by the date at the middle of this range (3082±29 BP), we can see that the date gives us almost exactly the right age when calibrated: 1361±38 calBP (using the 2007 CalPal calibration curve). The outlier date gives a calibrated age (1041±43 calBP) that is completely impossible with our knowledge of Egyptian history and which also goes against the very consistent pattern of radiocarbon dates not just for Akhenaten but for the whole sequence of the New Kingdom. That's the key point here. Contamination is haphazard and willy-nilly; it produces outliers, not beautifully patterned, consistent chronologies that correspond closely to other independently derived sequences. Appealing to contamination as an attempt to discredit the whole science of radiocarbon dating (which is what is done in creationist pseudoscience) is to lose the forest for the trees.

    The only thing that is for sure about C14 is that it has a specific rate of decay or half life.

    This is not true at all. Read the article I linked above. Calibration has made radiocarbon dating into a much more finely tuned tool, and one that continues to improve as datasets grow. It isn't simply a matter of half lives and hasn't been since the early 1970s.

    What I've gathered from the discussion so far is that, while C14 dating is not meant to be completely accurate (given the percentage variances in the way it's calibrated) and serves only as a ballpark marker

    Of course it's not "completely accurate" (what is?), but it is astonishingly accurate when properly conducted. Coupled with Bayesian statistical modelings, its even been used recently to generate approximate dates for the pharaohs of the third and second millennium BC: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/328/5985/1554.full.pdf. But my point in ninja's other thread is despite the small expected range of error, it is impossible to move around Egyptian chronology on the order of many hundreds of years which lacks justification and which would disrupt the interlocking consistency between independent lines of evidence.

    we do make assumptions about how it's calibrated (that the C14 absorbed must have been constant or at least the same as in other sites tested; that the sample tested is uniform compared to the rest of the object being tested; that the percentage variance in different objects tested or the average of different readings is preferable than a single reading that can be accurately established. (http://www.nytimes.com/1990/05/31/us/errors-are-feared-in-carbon-dating.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm)

    I notice that article was from 1990. And the article primarily discussed samples on the order of 9,000, 20,000, 30,000 years old, where the error range is quite large, a very different situation than that concerning samples from the second millennium BC. And in the twenty years since that article was published, methods have continued to improve even for handling very old specimens: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/02/100211111549.htm.

    I'm not saying that we (especially scientists) don't have the leniency to make those assumptions. However, if we do, we need to be willing to concede that the reading is less than 100% accurate (even if it's just close enough)

    No scientist has ever claimed that radiocarbon dating is 100% accurate. The real issue here is with those who claim that it is so unreliable that all dates (even those from samples within the last 5,000 years) are off by many hundreds or even thousands of years (as required by Young Earth Creationism, which holds that human civilization and the earth is no older than 6,000 years).

    Leolaia, I think your citation of ninja_matty69's reference to the global flood might be a bit misplaced. The key word is "IF". I hope ninja_matty69 is not asserting to the Biblical flood as an actual occurrence

    No, the source that ninja was quoting was most certainly a Young Earth Creationist interested in discrediting science that indicates that humans were on earth longer than 6,000 years and that existing monuments are older than the biblical date for the Flood. "If" is rhetorical. Think about it....why else would a mythological story be used in a discussion about problems in radiometric dating?

    And no, what the person said has no relevance to small local floods. The arguments depend on global conditions governing 14C availability. Hence, a global Flood.

    The point is that if there was a significant "cloud cover" in our atmosphere (something that is also scientifically suggested at different times in our geological history), the C14 rate would have been different and would have affected samples greatly and the flooding might well have contaminated a lot of specimens.

    Biblically-derived notions like a cloud canopy covering the antediluvian planet and a global Flood were not scientifically credible to begin with, but now there is now such a wealth of information on palaeoclimatology thanks to dendrochronology, varves, ice cores, etc. that scientists have a very accurate knowledge of what the climate of the earth was like at various times in the past.

    One recent investigation depicts Israel as an "intellectual construct". It also points to other "cigarette-sized" scrolls found (beside the Dead Sea scrolls), which indicate sufficient differences in "old testament" accounts to signal the lore and poetic origins of the Old Testament. (http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/ancient/bibles-buried-secrets.html)

    That's the Ketef Hinnom amulets containing the Priestly Benediction. They were not found among the Dead Sea Scrolls but in a pre-exilic cemetary in the Hinnom Valley. I am not aware of substantial differences between the text of the Priestly Benediction in the amulets and what is in the OT. But even if they are, the amulets quote what was then oral liturgy and not necessarily a biblical text.

  • Miles3
    Miles3

    Etude, living organisms build their cells creating new molecules with carbon when they're alive, when the organism dies no new molecules are produced, and thus the carbon atoms that constitute them can not be carbon added later. One atom of carbon doesn't magically decide to leave the dead organism's molecule to be replaced by another "contaminating" carbon atom.

    And we find human remains everywhere, not just conveniently in parts where we wouldn't have mapped the climate.

  • Etude
    Etude

    Leolaia, thank you for your thorough response. I realize and had always assumed that a particular archaeologist would not necessarily do the science on 14 C dating or even date the samples in order for others to determine the age after some calibration. My impression has always been that they (archeologists) usually send the sample to a lab or to an expert for testing. I've also understood and agree with your description of how 14 C becomes part of an organism and was aware that the absorption of 14 C occurs fairly consistently and thoroughly throughout the organism. But the fact that contamination does occur is precisely what has made me question (not reject) the idea that readings can be accurate. I suppose I have to take your word for it that the margin of error is not significant. Nevertheless, it seems to me that the very idea of petrifaction, especially via permineralization, can substantially alter a specimen (ironically preserving its cellular structure) to include all kinds of components that were never part of the specimen (which contradicts Miles3's last assertion). Therefore, the accuracy of the dating can greatly depend on the state of the specimen. In the case of some of the Egyptian items you mention, the error would probably be negligible to none.

    In other cases, I think about the idea that if we determined there was a global increase in the production of 14 C somewhere in the middle of a specimens life span (let's say a tree that lived 2000 years), even with a constant absorption rate, for a good deal of time, the "sudden" jump in newer 14 C may skew the dating. I do grant you that the difference may not be temporally significant, but it could be. I said:"The only thing that is for sure about 14 C is that it has a specific rate of decay or half life." To which you replied: " This is not true at all. " I'm not sure what you mean. If you mean that 14 C does not have a specific half-life, then I'm dumbfounded as to why it would be used for dating at all. My understanding is that it is invariably 5,730 years (give or take a few decades). As far as I know, that is a physical and accurately deducible scientific conclusion. I have to admit that I cheated a bit and did not read the entire article you refer to ( http://www.arch.unipi.it/Arias/Materiali_Web/Radiocarbonio/Kromer_2009_14C%20and%20dendrochron.pdf ) What I did was to search for "half life" or "half-life" and found no entries. Did you mean a different link?

    Of course, I didn't mean to imply that 14 C dating should be 100% accurate. What I implied is that the possibility is there for the dating to be sufficiently inaccurate. Even if that seldom happens, it casts doubt on the dating, such as those conducted on the Shroud of Turin (1988), which place it in the 12th to 13th century but which is contradicted by Raymond Rogers (2005) for the inaccuracy (inconsistency?) of the sample used. Therefore, what the sample is and what happened to it seems to be critical in determining its age. Even though that sample was not subject to petrefaction, the reasons given by Rogers allude to "contamination" and exterior influences in the sample. That experts disagree on that makes a lay person like me more concerned and confused.

    While I realize that dating methods have improved, the actual measuring of 14 C has barely budged since its conception, unless you count that the tools used today are much more expensive, sophisticated and easier to use than ever, even though they yield more or less the same results as before. The only thing I have found that is a significant improvement is a new method of 14 C testing on the entire object while submerged in a combination of gasses in a chamber in order to get a "greater" or more homogenous reading. For me that only leaves advancements in calibration and the interpretation and adjustment of things like dendrochronology as the greater explanation for "advancement". If you have a few more examples that fall outside either category, I would appreciate it if you let me know about them. I'm not trying to dump the research on you. It's just that I wouldn't know where to begin.

    As for "diluvial" mentions, I can see how you could rightly interpret Ninja's reference as being biblically supportive. I gave Ninja the benefit of the doubt because I have read about evidence of ancient "green house" effects throughout geological time as well as the suggestion that significant flooding in certain areas (even after Pangaea) have been detected in rock sediments. I suppose only Ninja can say how it was meant. But the evidence I'm referring to is subject for a different consideration. The "amulet" scrolls you mention are precisely what I was referring to, those found outside the walls of Jerusalem. They contain copies of prayers that are indeed also contained in the Dead Sea Scrolls. The difference is that they pre-date the Dead Sea Scrolls by about 400 years. What caught my attention was not their content but the idea that the conception of the Bible (not so much the Pentateuch) is the manifestation of a change, particularly after the exodus from captivity in Babylon, of the Hebrews from polytheistic to monotheistic, thereby reinforcing the idea that they weren't setting down their past as much as that they were inventing it.

    Etude.

  • King Solomon
    King Solomon

    Etude said:

    particularly after the exodus from captivity in Babylon

    You DO realize that the Exodus story, as depicted in Exodus, is likely just a Hebrew tall tale, questionable to have ever occurred based on the complete lack of historical evidence? It's as much of a Hebraic myth as Noah's Flood....

    Bill Devers, Finkelstein, etc have presented overwhelming evidence to cast doubt on the historicity of the Exodus account, based on a total lack of evidence of 2 million people living in the desert (people leave animal bones after eating, rubbish), evidence of sites which indicate an ongoing existence in the Southern Levant during the time they were supposed to be "slaves" in Egypt, or no evidence of destruction of cities claimed as destroyed, and no evidence of cities existing at the time they claimed to be destroyed.

    The Exodus account MAY be based on small groups who migrated from Egypt, but "2 million" people, led by a Moses? Not a chance....

  • Etude
    Etude

    King Solomon:

    ex·o·dus

    [ ek -s uh -d uh s ] Show IPA noun 1. a going out; a departure or emigration, usually of a large number of people: the summer exodus to the country and shore.

    2. the Exodus, the departure of the Israelites from Egypt under Moses. 3. ( initial capital letter ) thesecond book of the Bible, containing an account of the Exodus. Abbreviation: Ex. Yes, I "Do realize that the Exodus story, as depicted in Exodus, is likely just a Hebrew tall tale", and I've thought so for quite a while. Some of the citations I used also explain that convincingly. So, you must realize that we're not referring the same thing. That's why I said "exodus" and not "The Exodus". I was speaking about the return of the Israelites after having been carted off to Babylon, after the first destruction of the temple. Some of the archeological findings suggest that prior to that, Israelites had multiple gods as evidence of artifact findings in Jerusalem. After that (after the captivity in Babylon), there is a noticeable decrease of polytheistic worship and a definite swing to monotheism. Etude.
  • King Solomon
    King Solomon

    Etude,

    I was speaking about the return of the Israelites after having been carted off to Babylon, after the first destruction of the temple.

    Ahhh, I see. But I thought that was referred to as 'the exile' vs 'exodus'. But I dunno: I'm no Leo. :)

  • Billy the Ex-Bethelite
    Billy the Ex-Bethelite

    I won't presume to speak for archaeologists, but I just wanted to add this from my limited lab experience...

    "Individual archaeologists may not necessarily be familiar with the particulars of radiocarbon dating. The discipline is very diverse and filled with specialists who are experts in their own fields. Archaeometry is itself a subspecialty and the 14C analysis is carried out in designated laboratories."

    An archaeologist who did their own carbon dating would have their work easily challenged. They would approach specimens with a preconceived age and be prejudice in their lab results.

    A genuine researcher would want their samples tested without preconception, perhaps in multiple labs. We're talking here about following a scientific method, not fabricating world history to conform to the Big Book of Jewish Fables.

  • kepler
    kepler

    RE:

    Correct you are not a dendrochronologist so why do you assume they can factor it in then? And btw dendrochronology has being giving "fixed" dates for the best part of 100 years. Computers and technology you talk about has only been around for 30 years so how did they count 3000 rings 4000 rings 5000 rings, and compare them 50 years ago? Without computer technology - it relied on human interpretation!!! ergo human error

    ----

    How would this have been done 50 years ago? The same way stellar spectra were identified 50 years ago, with a micrometer and magnifying glass or low power microscope. It's the same basic problem. If you have ever done identification of absorption and emission lines in a stellar spectra, you can use a microscope if you have to, but you have the spectra placed against a micrometer scale and reference spectra for several elements.

    From my reading, questions about Bible chronology have been there since books appeared about the Bible. And that was early on since Eusebius incorporates the criticisms and concerns of others. Even before it was fully compiled, Augustine complained of how could he get Methuselah's life wedged in before the Flood. People just assume that the Judges were all sequential. But on the other hand, you find a pharaoh's physical remains and you can find his (or her) writings in stone.

    There's also a sleight of hand trick of claiming that the church had already fell into apostasy before the Bible itself was compiled. If everyone involved in its compilation and canonization was so utterly corrupt and wrong headed, how is its inerrancy explained? On this subject, perhaps it is worth mulling over Jeremiah 8:8.

  • kepler
    kepler

    If I understand premise of this topic correctly, it would appear that

    if there is any lack of consensus in the scientific community about carbon 14 dating or dendrology, then it's bingo - a score for Biblical chronology,

    whatever that is, a chronology that begins with Adam and Eve begetting two sons and no daughters.

    From time to time I do see things in astronomy journals like a revised measure of the distance to the Hyades star cluster or another galaxy. Should I assume each and every one of these arguments is a score for Biblical chronology as well?

    I am aware of geological and archeological evidence for Ice Ages, but I am unaware of any for a world-wide flood as described. And I don't think that there is much follow-up beyond Genesis in the source. Other cultures speak of a flood at some distant time in the past, yes. And a couple of paleolithic events in the Mediterranean or Black Sea have been suggested as candidates (10,000 BC or earlier). And the end of an Ice Age would certainly constitute a huge melting flood somewhere... But I have never heard of dendrology or carbon 14 brought to bear on any evidence for biblical deluge, especially according to the timeline described.

    Also, when you search via a Concordance for "Noah" or "flood", it appears that this subject too is dropped by the Bible perhaps entirely after Genesis. It doesn't seem to fit into the Abraham, Isaac or Joseph narrative. And doesn't fit into Exodus. Chronicles mentions Noah as an ancestor...

    But if there were a flood, that does pose a demagraphic problem, considering that populations unknown to the Bible seem to have existed in Australia, East Asia and the western hemisphere for periods into antiquity many times longer than the timeline as interpreted. Shoot, just in Washington State there are arguments between native peoples and the local archeologists about the Kenwick man, and he would be much older than Adam's grandfather no matter what kind of carbon 14 error is ascribed to his remains by the arguments above.

    Half-life for carbon 5370 years. For it to exist, it has to be continuously created in the atmosphere. The most likely source is high energy cosmic radiation's interaction with nitrogen. So amidst non reactive carbon 12 and 13 taken into a body, the percentage of carbon 14 is going to be small.

    The fact that there is any debate about measurement accuracy with carbon 14 is not because of concerns about carbon 14 decay rates, but concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere or events such as nuclear blasts (e.g., in 1965) that increase its occurence over the natural background level. Since global warming debates are predicated on concentrations of atmospheric CO2 over thousands of years, ice core samples appear to be an obvious method of determining both CO2 levels and variations in carbon 14. If ice bubbles a meter lower in Greenland show a dispersion in their remaining C14 from concentrations above (due to an intervening volcanic event, for example), then corrections such as the ones discussed might be in order.

    While the discussion earlier notes that C14 measures have been adjusted, it is not clear to me that each submitted revision is a score for Biblical accuracy, but rather continued scientific debate.

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