JWs: Biggest Turnover Rate of Members! "Masked churn" rate of 2/3rds!!

by Seeker4 78 Replies latest jw friends

  • Seeker4
    Seeker4

    an article just out this afternoon said the following. Note especially the second paragraph about JWs:

    For some groups, their relatively steady number of adherents over the years hides a remarkable amount of coming and going. Simply counting Catholics since 1972,for example, you would get the impression that its population had remained fairly static - at about 25% of adult Americans (the current number is 23.9%). But the Pew report shows that of all those raised Catholic, a third have left the church. (That means that roughly one out of every 10 people in America is a former Catholic, and that ex-Catholics are almost as numerous as the America's second biggest religious group, Southern Baptists.) But Catholicism has made up for the losses by adding converts (2.6% of the population) and, more significantly, enjoying an influx of new immigratns, mostly Hispanic.

    An even more extreme example of what might be called "masked churn" is the relatively tiny Jehovah's Witnesses, with a turnover rate of about two-thirds. That means that two-thirds of the people who told Pew they were raised Jehovah's Witnesses no longer are - yet the group attracts roughly the same number of converts. Notes Lugo, "No wonder they have to keep on knocking on doors."

    Wow, finally someone is catching on to the truth about JWs! I'll link the piece below.

    S4

  • DanTheMan
    DanTheMan

    I can't figure out where the converts are coming from, and I wonder if the fact that the overall number of Witnesses is not declining in the US is because of Mexican immigrants, not because of adult converts. When I left in '02, it seemed to me that the *only* people being dunked at assemblies and conventions were born-ins.

  • M.J.
    M.J.

    Good article! Can't wait for the link.

    There's more here:
    http://www.jehovahs-witness.com/12/153517/1.ashx

  • claytoncapeletti
    claytoncapeletti

    (AP) -- The U.S. religious marketplace is extremely volatile, with nearly half of American adults leaving the faith tradition of their upbringing to either switch allegiances or abandon religious affiliation altogether, a new survey finds.
    The study released Monday by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life is unusual for it sheer scope, relying on interviews with more than 35,000 adults to document a diverse and dynamic U.S. religious population.

    While much of the study confirms earlier findings -- mainline Protestant churches are in decline, non-denominational churches are gaining and the ranks of the unaffiliated are growing -- it also provides a deeper look behind those trends, and of smaller religious groups.

    "The American religious economy is like a marketplace -- very dynamic, very competitive," said Luis Lugo, director of the Pew Forum. "Everyone is losing, everyone is gaining. There are net winners and losers, but no one can stand still. Those groups that are losing significant numbers have to recoup them to stay vibrant."
    The U.S. Religious Landscape Survey estimates the United States is 78 percent Christian and about to lose its status as a majority Protestant nation, at 51 percent and slipping.

    More than one-quarter of American adults have left the faith of their childhood for another religion or no religion at all, the survey found. Factoring in moves from one stream or denomination of Protestantism to another, the number rises to 44 percent.
    One in four adults ages 18 to 29 claim no affiliation with a religious institution.
    "In the past, certain religions had a real holding power, where people from one generation to the next would stay," said Penn State University sociologist Roger Finke, who consulted in the survey planning. "Right now, there is a dropping confidence in organized religion, especially in the traditional religious forms."
    Lugo said the 44 percent figure is "a very conservative estimate," and more research is planned to determine the causes.

    "It does seem in keeping with the high tolerance among Americans for change," Lugo said. "People move a lot, people change jobs a lot. It's a very fluid society."
    The religious demographic benefiting the most from this religious churn is those who claim no religious affiliation. People moving into that category outnumber those moving out of it by a three-to-one margin.

    The majority of the unaffiliated -- 12 percent of the overall population -- describe their religion as "nothing in particular," and about half of those say faith is at least somewhat important to them. Atheists or agnostics account for 4 percent of the total population.

    The Roman Catholic Church has lost more members than any faith tradition because of affiliation swapping, the survey found. While nearly one in three Americans were raised Catholic, fewer than one in four say they're Catholic today. That means roughly 10 percent of all Americans are ex-Catholics.

    The share of the population that identifies as Catholic, however, has remained fairly stable in recent decades thanks to an influx of immigrant Catholics, mostly from Latin America. Nearly half of all Catholics under 30 are Hispanic, the survey found.
    On the Protestant side, changes in affiliation are swelling the ranks of nondenominational churches, while Baptist and Methodist traditions are showing net losses.

    Many Americans have vague denominational ties at best. People who call themselves "just a Protestant," in fact, account for nearly 10 percent of all Protestants.
    Although evangelical churches strive to win new Christian believers from the "unchurched," the survey found most converts to evangelical churches were raised Protestant.

    Hindus claimed the highest retention of childhood members, at 84 percent. The group with the worst retention is one of the fastest growing -- Jehovah's Witnesses. Only 37 percent of those raised in the sect known for door-to-door proselytizing said they remain members.

    Among other findings involving smaller religious groups, more than half of American Buddhists surveyed were white, and most Buddhists were converts.
    More people in the survey pool identified themselves as Buddhist than Muslim, although both populations were small -- less than 1 percent of the total population. By contrast, Jews accounted for 1.7 percent of the overall population.
    The self-identified Buddhists -- 0.7 percent of those surveyed -- illustrate a core challenge to estimating religious affiliation: What does affiliation mean?
    It's unclear whether people who called themselves Buddhists did so because they practice yoga or meditation, for instance, or claim affiliation with a Buddhist institution.

    The report does not project membership figures for religious groups, in part because the survey is not as authoritative as a census and didn't count children, Lugo said. The U.S. Census does not ask questions on religion

  • Seeker4
    Seeker4

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/time/20080225/us_time/americasunfaithfulfaithful

    That's the link. Maybe someone can activate it for me. Firefox on a Mac....

    Also, saw too late that there are a couple of other threads on this out there. Didn't mean to jump in on you!


    S4

  • jefferywhat
    jefferywhat

    A friend of ine who is pioneering in Auz emailed me the other day and said all pioneers have been offered free language lessons and have been encouraged to join a foreign language group.

    I personally think most of the current growth ( without being negative) is coming from a) the 15 minute allowance for the elderly and infrim. b) refugee and expats ( alot join for friendship, and free english lessons)

  • kwr
    kwr

    Well how many of them are baptised? Isn't that the only people that JW's count as members?

  • Pioneer Spit...oh, i mean Spirit
    Pioneer Spit...oh, i mean Spirit

    2 excellent articles to save. . .from TIME and CNN!!!

  • jaguarbass
    jaguarbass

    yet the group attracts roughly the same number of converts.

    If that is true, then I guess some people are looking for good news and something to believe in.

    In this information age, with the internet, it doesnt take them long to see they have been lied to.

  • DazedAndConfused
    DazedAndConfused

    Maybe I am missing something here but claytoncapeletti can you give a link for what you posted?

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