Hey Christ Alone.
So just my two cents.
I do in fact think its a pretty weak arguement to the active JW. It was a weak arguement for me personally when it was brought to my attention. The problem with relying so much on personal experience with a time period is well that its.....personal. My mother was around during 1975, and she didn't feel the urge to sell her home, and didn't get in a huff. She said she wasn't expecting anything and it was never discussed at the meetings. That was her PERSONAL experience. So the old line that "some people" got a little out of hand with it, rings true to her.
A few other things. NOTHING the WT has written can be considered false prophecy because JW's believe they are not prophets. So they are some guys that made a mistake. But they speak for God you say? Well the first century christians were wrong sometimes, Christ's disciples thought he was going to set up the kingdom, etc.... So it doesn't affect the thinking at large. They don't see the paradox.
In regards the literature, there is plenty of loaded language, but there is much more to coax the already held view that most people WANT to believe, namely that it was a few rouge people, and nothing as explicitly stated.
Even when Freddy said "It could....but we are not saying"....he followed it immediately by "and don't any of you either" or something to that effect. So it was speculative, but not concrete. Someone told me just the other day that they heard the good news had been preached in all the inhabited earth. i know that went around for a while. When I told the guy that was just kind of a rouge rumor, and not sanctioned, he kind of fought me on it....wanting to believe there was some special insight.
We are trippy creatures. People want to be the first with news and special info. JW's want this the same as everyone else, and just happen to want it with special insight into the future. Haven't you heard people admit being "too eager" for God's will to be done? I mean if you break that down a little, it can be pretty troubling.
1975 is not where its at. if you were going to leave over 75, you probably would have done it by 76. The reason the ex community wants it to work, is because it is a more RECENT example of flubbery in regards to dates. Old timey times are easier to discount because everyone was crazy who lived back then. :)