I must reluctantly say probably not in our lifetimes. What could possibly bring such a thing about?
* Dummy R&F just all quit? Looks like many young will quit and thin them out but some will always be brainwashed.
* Government taxes them out of existence? Been tried - they just spun things around so they are not selling anything or have any employees.
* Run out of money? Maybe in about the year 2525, but they are about as rich as Warren Buffett for now, and still collecting money on all those investments. Already cutting back Bethel expenses and circling the wagons.
* Shamed our of existence by false prophecy/scandal? Don't think so - they made it through UN - gate, Draft Dodger - gate, 1975, Generation Change, etc. already. These seem to cause them to dip maybe 10-15% for a while but so far they have rebounded. Saw a sign in the quickmart the other day - "can't buy alchohol if you were not born by 1985". Young adults today in that org were not even born when the 1975 thing happened and could probably care less. The UN thing - it hurt, but they seem to have successfully lied their way out of it.
* Internet? Most serious challenge so far; but probably can still brainwash a good percentage that this is Satan's workshop and to avoid it like the plague. Just disfellowship for logging on...
What I think is that they are headed to a descending spiral to finally stabilize into something like the present day 7th Adventists. They will react to diminishing attendance by first a clamp-down (which we see now and is not apparantly working) followed by a gradual normalization into a less demanding fringe religion led by a younger GB. Thus, kind of like Adventism or Pentecostals. But in fact still around as a very rich and secretive org who delights in screwing with peoples lives. We may have, however, seen the last of prophetic dates for the future.
Pessimistic I know - but thats my honest call for now.
James