Huh? There is reason to think there has been any great extinction in over 65 million years. What exactly is your "good chance" based on?
I dont get your grammer or know where you are coming from.
But recorded history began in Sumeria 10,000 years ago.
Yet a lot of people insist the world and life and man are millions of years old.
So the chance is that life was wiped out 10,000 years ago.
That is the story of the bible and people who dont believe the bible say that is the story of Hammurabi.
That goes back to the babylonians.
And many if not most ancient people have a history of a worldwide flood, which would be considered a cataclysm
I cant answer any better because I dont understand your english.