Metatron:
We don't agree on a lot but I think you have a good grasp of geopolitics.
The people who don't agree with your view are not capable of thinking out of the box.
They speak out of fear. They fear what the world would be like without the USA.
I am an extreme pessimist. Everyone is underestimating the seriousness of Putins goal.
Don't forget that Putin came to power by the FSB bombing their own people to justify beating up on the Chechens.
The bombing of the apartments in Moscow and other cities was blamed on the Chechens. It all worked. Yeltsin was granted imunity when Putin took over.
Everyone in Russia was focused on the Chechen war and forgot about the corruption of Yeltsin and his mobsters.
The criminals in Russia would love to see Putin go down and they WOULD kill him if they could do it without ending up with polonium in their tea.
The USA wants Putin out so they can play footsie with Medvedev. That's what the sanctions are really about.
I have to laugh when people in the west think that they are going to bring Putin down.
Mark my words. If they push Putin too hard a nuclear bomb is going to go off in NYC. It won't arrive on an ICBM. All he has to do is pass on small nuclear bomb off to a terrorist group. No return address.
A bomb in lower manhattan would drop the USA to it's financial knees. Europe will be shivering in their boots. Ukraine will capitualte when they see that the USA is preoccupied. Even Putin's oligarch enemies will be struck with terror because they will be next on his list. If the Muslim world gets too bold Putin will give a bomb to Iran to deliver to Mecca. The Shiites would love to chasten the Sunnis.
We live in a dangerous world. I would love to see a scenario where things proceed in a normal way. But it won't happen that way if you push the wrong people. Putin is the wrong person to push.
Met, as you see I forsee a messy meltdown of this unipolar world. Let's hope the resulting tribulation is cut short by the "mother ships" that have demonstrated the power to disable missiles. You know what I'm talking about.
Too bad Tom Clancy isn't around any more. He would probably have a thriller in print with the very intrigues I mention here.
Tom Clancy should have been working in the US state department.