Slanty lines go uppie. :)
Maybe its too early for anyone to say definitively yet.
I still question how people willingly accept figures from India, a country that is rife with corruption, yet ignore their own country, its almost like they have a pre-conceived idea that they desperately want to be true.
As far as my lived experience, my state had a maximum if 700-ish cases a day during the first wave, when no one was vaxxed , by September 2020, about people 800 had died from covid, according to official figures.
During the delta wave of 2021, we have had a further 400-500 deaths despite having daily case numbers of 1200- 2000. During this time, people were getting vaccinated. If you believe the official figures, the vast majority of deaths were unvaxxed.
The only way we are going to know for sure is time.