[insert whatever cockamamie rule]..."is just another loving provision from Jehovah"
In private: "...there was so much spiritual food at the DC I think I have spiritual indigestion."
i know there's no such word as "witnessy" but this can be a fun thread.
[insert whatever cockamamie rule]..."is just another loving provision from Jehovah"
In private: "...there was so much spiritual food at the DC I think I have spiritual indigestion."
http://www.christianpost.com/news/jimmy-carter-says-jesus-would-not-support-abortion-revealing-only-conflict-between-his-politics-and-christian-faith-141881/.
carter said that as a young man he used to be a jehovah's witness before he was a baptist christian.. .
"it's hard to grow up with such a foundational system and just let it go.
Hi there,
That is mighty interesting. Its the second US president in the 20th century with a JW backround. (The other being Eisenhower)
I have always liked Jimmy Carter, doesn't matter what people say about him (usually lame duck). I had a period of being a Baptist as well, so we got two religions in common :)
i only recently became aware of cases of people being born with tails.
having looked into it this is a evolutionary leftover and we have many other examples within each one of us like the appendix, wisdom teeth, and muscles to move the ears.
plus many more, this seems to me to prove evolution completely.
I don't know about vestigial organs, but here's something I found interesting:
Its from the book 'The Greatest Show on Earth' by Richard Dawkins:
The vas deferens is the pipe that carries sperm from the testis to the penis. The most direct
route is the fictitious one shown on the left-hand side of the diagram opposite. The actual route taken by
the vas deferens is shown on the right of the diagram. It takes a ridiculous detour around the ureter, the
pipe that carries urine from the kidney to the bladder. If this were designed, nobody could seriously deny
that the designer had made a bad error. But, just as with the recurrent laryngeal nerve, all becomes clear
when we look at evolutionary history. The likely original position of the testes is shown in dotted lines.
When, in the evolution of mammals, the testes descended to their present position in the scrotum (for
reasons that are unclear, but are often thought to be associated with temperature), the vas deferens
unfortunately got hooked the wrong way over the ureter. Rather than reroute the pipe, as any sensible
engineer would have done, evolution simply kept on lengthening it – once again, the marginal cost of
each slight increase in length of detour would have been small. Yet again, it is a beautiful example of an
initial mistake compensated for in a post hoc fashion, rather than being properly corrected back on the
drawing board. Examples like this must surely undermine the position of those who hanker after
‘intelligent design’.
the ancient jews did not believe in an after-life as far as i can tell, correct me if i'm wrong.
the watchtower says yes.
they say all the prophets believed in a paradise earth..
Hi there John Aquila,
My two cents.
How about this: What if its a natural part of the evolution of religion?
What do I mean by this? Well according to Prof. Bob Briar the ancient Egyptians only believed that the Pharaoh's had a 'ba' (The personal characteristics that remain after the individual dies that ascends to the heavens). Everyone had a 'ka' or life force. Later on the religion evolved that lower royals also had a 'ba'. Later tradesmen and professionals claimed the same and then finally every-man. This can be seen because in early dynasty's only the Pharaoh's had pyramid tombs, later lower royals and professionals and so on (The pyramids grow smaller in size too :)) The liberalization of the culture over time caused a view of equality in the afterlife (Not that the slave is equal to the Pharaoh in the afterlife but that he actually gets to have one) . Also see: Ian Shaw - The Oxford History of Ancient Egypt (2000) p180-181 Callender, Gae, "The Middle Kingdom"
What I'm getting at is that Christianity represents an evolution of the Jewish tradition. There are two mentions in the Old Testament that elude to possible heavenly ascents: Elijah and Enoch. Both have special status: One as a pre-flood patriarch and the other a profit. Perhaps the germ of an idea. Heaven originally viewed as an exception for the exceptional or the very special but later becomes a destination for all. Perhaps it could be viewed as an equalizer.
The Gospels I view as the evolution of a philosophy which emerges out of the Jewish culture. Not the work of just the four gospel writers, but the work of a rebellious component of the Jewish community creating a new liberal tradition. The sayings of Jesus were being passed around very early and that those sayings also multiplied and evolved as can be seen in the Gospel of Thomas (which may be the oldest recorded sayings of Jesus 40 ce or much much later140 ce). Whats important is not the dating of Thomas but that sayings of Jesus on their own were being passed around, and when combined with anecdotes about Jesus or persons confused with Jesus became the basis of the four narratives. Mark is the oldest and may be based on Thomas. Matthew and Luke borrow from Mark and John is the odd one out who adds totally different ideas (like the Deity of Christ)
Heaven liberalizes the Jewish community. The class system is effectively destroyed in the afterlife through the Gospels (I'm ignoring anything beyond the gospels for the sake of argument). The community who evolved the Gospels probably drew on the possible allusions of Elijah and Enoch and combined them with other ideas coming from Zoroaster, Egypt etc. I also think of it in terms of the evolution of the JW faith. In Russells day everyone went to heaven. Later J F Rutherford alters the tradition and emphasizes the class system with two destinations. The whole process takes a couple of decades, just like the evolution of the Christian tradition of heaven.
i've been doing some watchtower membership growth projections.
the best, worst and most lightly future scenarios.
i've used the worlds population as a barometer of future watchtower growth.
Steve2,
JWs have not been the "only" kid on the block for decades - their claimed days of being "the fastest growing religious group in the world" are well and truly over, as the religiuosly needy flood to other groups for consolation.
Yeah they're actually following a very set growth pattern now.
If my pessimist projection is correct they can actually stop their preaching activity today and still achieve some growth. Their preaching work is not really adding that much anymore. To become "the fastest growing" religion they'd have to discard a lot of the unattractive ideas like the blood doctrine, door to door etc. And that won't happen anytime soon.
i've been doing some watchtower membership growth projections.
the best, worst and most lightly future scenarios.
i've used the worlds population as a barometer of future watchtower growth.
"JW facts states I believe for every two the get baptised one leaves, I'm thinking it's becoming a one to one ratio."
So you would propose it will become static? When and at what number?
from the topic i made earlier (see below), it made me wonder about the forum's opinion.. straw poll: in 2050 how many jehovah's witness publishers will there be on average?.
link: http://strawpoll.de/oirz9kyi hope you will participate.. greetings.
sb.
Hi there all,
From the topic I made earlier (see below), it made me wonder about the forum's opinion.
Straw Poll: In 2050 how many Jehovah's Witness publishers will there be on average?
Link: http://strawpoll.de/oIRz9ky
I hope you will participate.
Greetings
SB
i've been doing some watchtower membership growth projections.
the best, worst and most lightly future scenarios.
i've used the worlds population as a barometer of future watchtower growth.
i've been doing some watchtower membership growth projections.
the best, worst and most lightly future scenarios.
i've used the worlds population as a barometer of future watchtower growth.
Hi Freddo,
So based on your idea that "...the quality of dubs (ie staying power, stamina) is dropping." how many average publishers do you project in 2050?
Just for reference: The 2014 number (In the 2015 yearbook) is 7 867 958.
i've been doing some watchtower membership growth projections.
the best, worst and most lightly future scenarios.
i've used the worlds population as a barometer of future watchtower growth.
What if a major cataclysmic scandal hits the Watchtower in the next couple of Years?
For example: On 5 November 2017 the Watchtower declares chapter 11.
Who knows why? Perhaps bad investments, and they run out of funds during their building project upheaval and end up making lots of debt that the faithful can't cover. Who knows? Cats and dogs living together, mass hysteria :) Then the scandals keep on coming (sexual abuse, lawsuits etc.) and they do something really dumb like they try another date prediction, which backfires.
So in this scenario this decades PpPpD drops to zero. Then I use the inverse value (a reverse velocity) of the best decades PpPpD in ascending order. This scenario is a wild wild speculation but then again its Armageddon :)
A Watchtower Armageddon projection
Note: The Average publisher level in 2050 is 1.38 million. Very bad but the organization still survives. Come to think of it, its actually not that bad for the Governing Body. The Risk of Ruin of the organization is virtually zero.
So if I was a betting man (which I am), I'd put the odds as follows:
1. The Most Probable and Reasonable Scenario - (1 in 2)
2. The 'New World' scenario - (1 in 3)
3. The 'Lost World' scenario - (1 in 10)
4. The Pessimist scenario - (1 in 3)
5. A Watchtower Armageddon projection - (1 in 20+)
Conclusion: I come to the unfortunate conviction that the Watchtower corporation is here to stay, but that its growth will be less optimistic than the GB would like. General lows from about 10 to a high of 13 million publishers can be expected in 2050. The extremes (3 deviation limit) are about 1.3 and 23 million.
All in all slightly cloudy with a chance of showers :)
Thanks for all the comments so far.
I'd like to hear your odds and comments on these projections or even your own number projections.
Greetings SB