Earthquake statistics?

ringo5

Has there ever been any so-called evidence brought forth by the WTBS that there has been an increase in earthquakes since 1914??
inquiring minds would like to know..

Over the years, they've made plenty of such claims, even going so far as to claim that quakes are 20 times worse in the 20th century than previous centuries. Their "studies", however, are studies in how to lie by cooking statistics -- to the point of being completely fraudulent. As of the early 1990s, they've backed away from such demonstrably false claims, so that today, most WTS literature simply says, "Jesus predicted earthquakes; we see earthquakes." Of course, this itself is ridiculous, and means no more than claiming that "Jesus said the sky will be blue; we see a blue sky."

AlanF

ringo5

Thanks Alan, I thought i've read things over the years in their literature, but as you say I haven't seen anything lately.
Anyone know of any data or studies on the frequency or size of earthquakes in the past century, assuming better record keeping in the 20th century, it should show an increase as we get deeeper an deeeper into this time of the end (or even better a decrease)??

Jeffro

With greater population densities, better media coverage, and better equipment for detecting and recording earthquakes, it seems likely that yes, we will hear of more earthquakes in these 'last days'. More reports of earthquakes doesn't necessarily mean more earthquakes.

skyman

http://www.bible.ca/pre-earthquakes-history-data.htm take a look here

Jeffro

very nice!! I liked the part about how, going by the Society's progressive counts of earthquake fatalities, it wouldn't be long before they say that no-one ever died in an earthquake prior to 1914.

jaffacake

I saw some stats but cant locate them. The number of earthquakes on average has not changed during the past few thousand years. The number of people affected has grown of course due to the rising population. And we can locate & measure even small ones antwhere in the world now due to scientific equipment & technology.

carla

Try the book, 'The Sign of the Last Days-When?' by Carl Olof Jonsson-Wolfgang Herbst. See chapter 3- Earthquakes and Historical Facts. carla

jaffacake

Nice one Carla. btw I was thinking of getting that book, is it good? Any chance of a brief outline of what its about?

nicolaou

This is the main link for all things earthquake:- http://earthquake.usgs.gov/

The f.a.q page is very interesting. Below is a straight 'cut & paste' [with emphasis added] which may go some way in explaining the WT's reluctance to focus on this particular aspect of the 'sign'.

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Q: Why are we having so many earthquakes? Has earthquake activity been increasing?

A: Although it may seem that we are having more earthquakes, earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or greater have remained fairly constant throughout this century and, according to our records, have actually seemed to decrease in recent years. A partial explanation may lie in the fact that in the last twenty years, we have definitely had an increase in the number of earthquakes we have been able to locate each year. This is because of the tremendous increase in the number of seismograph stations in the world and the many improvements in global communications. In 1931, there were about 350 stations operating in the world; today, there are more that 4,000 stations and the data now comes in rapidly from these stations by telex, computer and satellite. This increase in the number of stations and the more timely receipt of data has allowed us and other seismological centers to locate many small earthquakes which were undetected in earlier years, and we are able to locate earthquakes more rapidly. The NEIC now locates about 12,000 to 14,000 earthquakes each year or approximately 35 per day. Also, because of the improvements in communications and the increased interest in natural disasters, the public now learns about more earthquakes. According to long-term records (since about 1900), we expect about 18 major earthquakes (7.0 - 7.9) and one great earthquake (8.0 or above) in any given year. However, let's take a look at what has happened in the past 32 years, from 1969 through 2001, so far. Our records show that 1992, and 1995-1997 were the only years that we have reached or exceeded the long-term average number of major earthquakes since 1971. In 1970 and in 1971 we had 20 and 19 major earthquakes, respectively, but in other years the total was in many cases well below the 18 per year which we may expect based on the long-term average.

See NEIC's Earthquake Statistics webpage [ http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/eqlists/eqstats.html ] for the tables of earthquake counts by magnitude and year.

Earthquake statistics?

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