by comment 13 Replies latest jw friends
Special Pioneers (59): 118.2 Av. Hrs., 83.3 Av. Mags, 44.1 Av. R.V., 3.0 Av. Bi. St.
Pioneers (7,072): 69.5 Av. Hrs., 48.0 Av. Mags, 22.8 Av. R.V., 1.4 Av. Bi. St.
Auxiliary Pioneers (15,272): 50.4 Av. Hrs., 39.8 Av. Mags, 12.4 Av. R.V., 0.5 Av. Bi. St.
Publishers (86,289): 10.1 Av. Hrs., 8.5 Av. Mags, 3.6 Av. R.V., 0.2 Av. Bi. St.
TOTAL=108,692
185 baptized
Did they get the peak pubs they were after?
Any idea what the peak was last year and the year before?
Best,
Maximus
(2001 yearbook in hand)
pretty anemic - 2000 average pubs 107,742, peak 111,173
metatron
The peak for the 2000 service year occurred in August 2000: 111,173
So did the peak for 1999: 111,032.
This April's report is a fabulous failure in a couple of respects. Firstly the total publishers figure of 108,692 is hardly above the 12 month moving average (approx 107,500). Last year in April, 110,510 reported (a drop of 1,818, or 1.65%, year to year).
Secondly, last year there were 18,236 aux. pioneers; this year 15,272 (drop of 2,964, or 16.25%).
Lastly, the 2000 report showed an overall decline of 1%. This would have been worse if not for two very high months of reporting: April and August. As this report shows, this year the traditionally high reporting month of April has paste with barely a blip. The current 12 month total shows a decline of 0.38%, with the traditionally slower Summer months still to come. I'm smiling.
Expatbrit, freakin' out over stats again.
You must get your KM before I do. Anyway, for the 8 months
of the service year, ending April 2001, the average publishers
is down by over 600, meaning that the yearly report will have
a -1% growth rate, if this keeps up. Baptisms are on target
to be below 2000 (last year was over 2300). This is a long way
from the 5000 total of just a few years ago.
Even more encouraging is the fact that for three consecutive months
the publisher count is a minimum of 1300 less than the same month
last year.
I am looking forward to the July report, which is traditionally the lowest
month for the year. I expect it will dip below 105,000, which will
be the lowest number since the early 1990's.
It certainly appears that the waters under the great whore are
drying up.
There's one more interesting statistic that we missed.
In April, 2000 the total hours spent in field service in
Canada was 2,329390. In April, 2001, the number was
2,139706.
That's a decrease of 189,684 hours for the month, or
8.1%.
RunningMan:
What was the weather like this April? Was it worse than last year? This could make a difference to the time the pubs are out in service.
Cheers,
Ozzie
"Truth persuades by teaching, but does not teach by persuading."
TERTULLIAN, Adversus Valentinianos
I don't think the weather was a factor. In my area, April was
completely average. If anything it was warmer than usual.
I would also like to throw out another idea.
Has anyone noticed a certain piece of number manipulation that
the Society appears to use? If you watch the publisher counts
for each month, you find that a peak is always preceeded and
followed by extremely low months.
For example, last year's peak of 111,000 came in August. Both
July and September were 105,000. This could be explained by
publishers not putting in their reports on time, so they are missed
in one month and double counted in the next. Or, maybe the
society intentionally misses some reports, so as to pad the next
month, creating an artificial peak.
easy there on the conspiracy theory......the society would just go back and add dem numbers at the end of the month
I was curious about this (having lived in Canada from '86-'93) and am thankful for the comparative figures.
Just wanted to say Welcome! to nytelecom1, whose reply I had noted on another post this PM. Seems another knowledgable NYC area dub/ex-dub is in our midst!
outnfree
