Changes are coming

by startingover 23 Replies latest jw friends

  • startingover
    startingover

    I see it happening. Any comments on our future here in the US?

    http://www.evolver.net/user/soultraveller/blog/america_changes_are_cominga_lot_them_are_here

    CHANGES ARE COMING ----

    Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part on how we
    adapt to them. But, ready or not, here they come.

    1. The Post Office. Get ready to imagine a world without the
    post office. They are so deeply in financial trouble that there is
    probably no way to sustain it long term. Email, Fed Ex, and UPS have
    just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the post
    office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and bills.

    2. The Check. Britain is already laying the groundwork to do
    away with checks by 2018. It costs the financial system billions
    of dollars a year to process checks. Plastic cards and online
    transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the check. This
    plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid
    your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office
    would absolutely go out of business.

    3. The Newspaper. The younger generation simply doesn't read the
    newspaper. They certainly don't subscribe to a daily delivered print
    edition. That may go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As
    for reading the paper online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in
    mobile Internet devices and e-readers has caused all the newspaper
    and magazine publishers to form an alliance. They have met with
    Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies to develop a
    model for paid subscription services.

    4. The Book. You say you will never give up the physical book that
    you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same
    thing about downloading music fromiTunes. I wanted my hard copy
    CD. But I quickly changed my mind when I discovered that I could
    get albums for half the price without ever leaving home to get
    the latest music. The same thing will happen with books. You can
    browse a bookstore online and even read a preview chapter before
    you buy. And the price is less than half that of a real book. And
    think of the convenience! Once you start flicking your fingers on
    the screen instead of the book, you find that you are lost in the
    story, can't wait to see what happens next, and you forget that
    you're holding a gadget instead of a book.

    5. The Land Line Telephone. Unless you have a large family and make
    a lot of local calls, you don't need it anymore. Most people keep
    it simply because they've always had it. But you are paying double
    charges for that extra service. All the cell phone companies will
    let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge
    against your minutes.

    6. Music. This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The
    music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal
    downloading. It's the lack of innovative new music being given
    a chance to get to the people who would like to hear it. Greed
    and corruption is the problem. The record labels and the radio
    conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the music
    purchased today is "catalog items," meaning traditional music that
    the public is familiar with. Older established artists. This is
    also true on the live concert circuit. To explore this fascinating
    and disturbing topic further, check out the book, "Appetite for
    Self-Destruction" by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary,
    "Before the Music Dies."

    7. Television. Revenues to the networks are down dramatically. Not
    just because of the economy. People are watching TV and movies
    streamed from their computers. And they're playing games and doing
    lots of other things that take up the time that used to be spent
    watching TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than
    the lowest common denominator. Cable rates are skyrocketing and
    commercials run about every 4 minutes and 30 seconds. I say good
    riddance to most of it. It's time for the cable companies to be put
    out of our misery. Let the people choose what they want to watch
    online and through Netflix.

    8. The "Things" That You Own. Many of the very possessions that we
    used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own
    them in the future. They may simply reside in "the cloud." Today
    your computer has a hard drive and you store your pictures,
    music, movies, and documents. Your software is on a CD or DVD,
    and you can always re-install it if need be. But all of that is
    changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their
    latest "cloud services." That means that when you turn on a computer,
    the Internet will be built into the operating system. So, Windows,
    Google, and the Mac OS will be tied straight into the Internet. If
    you click an icon, it will open something in the Internet cloud. If
    you save something, it will be saved to the cloud. And you may pay
    a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider.

    In this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or
    your whatever from any laptop or handheld device. That's the good
    news. But, will you actually own any of this "stuff" or will it
    all be able to disappear at any moment in a big "Poof?" Will most
    of the things in our lives be disposable and whimsical? It makes
    you want to run to the closet and pull out that photo album, grab
    a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the insert.

    9. Privacy. If there ever was a concept that we can look back on
    nostalgically, it would be privacy. That's gone. It's been gone for
    a long time anyway. There are cameras on the street, in most of the
    buildings, and even built into your computer and cell phone. But you
    can be sure that 24/7, "They" know who you are and where you are,
    right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google Street View. If
    you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and
    your ads will change to reflect those habits. And "They" will try
    to get you to buy something else. Again and again.

    All we will have that can't be changed are Memories.

    ---------------

    19 Facts About The Deindustrialization Of America That Will Blow Your Mind

    The United States is rapidly becoming the very first
    "post-industrial" nation on the globe. All great economic empires
    eventually become fat and lazy and squander the great wealth that
    their forefathers have left them, but the pace at which America is
    accomplishing this is absolutely amazing. It was America that was
    at the forefront of the industrial revolution. It was America that
    showed the world how to mass produce everything from automobiles to
    televisions to airplanes. It was the great American manufacturing
    base that crushed Germany and Japan in World War II.

    But now we are witnessing the deindustrialization of America . Tens
    of thousands of factories have left the United States in the past
    decade alone. Millions upon millions of manufacturing jobs have been
    lost in the same time period. The United States has become a nation
    that consumes everything in sight and yet produces increasingly
    little. Do you know what our biggest export is today? Waste paper.
    Yes, trash is the number one thing that we ship out to the rest of
    the world as we voraciously blow our money on whatever the rest
    of the world wants to sell to us. The United States has become
    bloated and spoiled and our economy is now just a shadow of what
    it once was. Once upon a time America could literally out produce
    the rest of the world combined. Today that is no longer true, but
    Americans sure do consume more than anyone else in the world. If the
    deindustrialization of America continues at this current pace, what
    possible kind of a future are we going to be leaving to our children?

    Any great nation throughout history has been great at making
    things. So if the United States continues to allow its manufacturing
    base to erode at a staggering pace how in the world can the
    U.S. continue to consider itself to be a great nation? We have
    created the biggest debt bubble in the history of the world in
    an effort to maintain a very high standard of living, but the
    current state of affairs is not anywhere close to sustainable.
    Every single month America goes into more debt and every single
    month America gets poorer.

    So what happens when the debt bubble pops?

    The deindustrialization of the United States should be a top concern
    for every man, woman and child in the country. But sadly, most
    Americans do not have any idea what is going on around them.

    For people like that, take this article and print it out and hand
    it to them. Perhaps what they will read below will shock them
    badly enough to awaken them from their slumber.

    The following are 19 facts about the deindustrialization of America
    that will blow your mind....

    #1 The United States has lost approximately 42,400 factories since
    2001. About 75 percent of those factories employed over 500 people
    when they were still in operation.

    #2 Dell Inc., one of America 's largest manufacturers of computers,
    has announced plans to dramatically expand its operations in China
    with an investment of over $100 billion over the next decade.

    #3 Dell has announced that it will be closing its last large
    U.S. manufacturing facility in Winston-Salem, North Carolina in
    November. Approximately 900 jobs will be lost.

    #4 In 2008, 1.2 billion cell phones were sold worldwide. So how
    many of them were manufactured inside the United States? Zero.

    #5 According to a new study conducted by the Economic Policy
    Institute, if the U.S. trade deficit with China continues to increase
    at its current rate, the U.S. economy will lose over half a million
    jobs this year alone.

    #6 As of the end of July, the U.S. trade deficit with China had
    risen 18 percent compared to the same time period a year ago.

    #7 The United States has lost a total of about 5.5 million
    manufacturing jobs since October 2000.

    #8 According to Tax Notes, between 1999 and 2008 employment at the
    foreign affiliates of U.S. parent companies increased an astounding
    30 percent to 10.1 million. During that exact same time period,
    U.S. employment at American multinational corporations declined 8
    percent to 21.1 million.

    #9 In 1959, manufacturing represented 28 percent of U.S. Economic
    output. In 2008, it represented 11.5 percent.

    #10 Ford Motor Company recently announced the closure of a factory
    that produces the Ford Ranger in St. Paul, Minnesota. Approximately
    750 good paying middle class jobs are going to be lost because
    making Ford Rangers in Minnesota does not fit in with Ford's new
    "global" manufacturing strategy.

    #11 As of the end of 2009, less than 12 million Americans worked
    in manufacturing. The last time less than 12 million Americans
    were employed in manufacturing was in 1941.

    #12 In the United States today, consumption accounts for 70 percent
    of GDP. Of this 70 percent, over half is spent on services.

    #13 The United States has lost a whopping 32 percent of its
    manufacturing jobs since the year 2000.

    #14 In 2001, the United States ranked fourth in the world in per
    capita broadband Internet use. Today it ranks 15th.

    #15 Manufacturing employment in the U.S. computer industry is
    actually lower in 2010 than it was in 1975.

    #16 Printed circuit boards are used in tens of thousands of
    different products. Asia now produces 84 percent of them worldwide.

    #17 The United States spends approximately $3.90 on Chinese goods
    for every $1 that the Chinese spend on goods from the United States .

    #18 One prominent economist is projecting that the Chinese economy
    will be three times larger than the U.S. economy by the year 2040.

    #19 The U.S. Census Bureau says that 43.6 million Americans are now
    living in poverty and according to them that is the highest number
    of poor Americans in the 51 years that records have been kept.

    -----
    So how many tens of thousands more factories do we need to lose
    before we do something about it?

    How many millions more Americans are going to become unemployed
    before we all admit that we have a very, very serious problem on
    our hands?

    How many more trillions of dollars are going to leave the country
    before we realize that we are losing wealth at a pace that is
    killing our economy?

    How many once great manufacturing cities are going to become rotting
    war zones like Detroit before we understand that we are committing
    national economic suicide?

    The deindustrialization of America is a national crisis. It needs
    to be treated like one.

    And to underscore the above:

    11/9/10: The largest private employer in Saginaw, Mich., will soon
    be the city government of Beijing, as a 104-year-old unit of General
    Motors will be sold to new owners from China. The $450M purchase
    received little attention this summer, but it is a landmark deal
    - the first time Chinese investors have bought a U.S. industrial
    operation of such scaleand history.

  • Terra Incognita
    Terra Incognita

    Startingover; as far as how much we will suffer before politicians start doing anything effective about it, the answer is that they never will.

    I don't see anything on that list other than economic situations. There is no mention of Peak Oil, ecological problems or even political trends. These poblems I've mentioned will be the ruin of us all even if the issues covered in that article were to have no effect on us.

    Today will seem luxurious in the future. The US is not going to last too long as a meaningful nation but then don't think that China and the rest of the world are not going to go downhill along with the US.

  • jeckle
    jeckle

    great were screwed! but what are we supposed to do, what can we do i see these things i've seen it going on for years but i cant stop it. i cant even stop myself from buying the cheepest deal on milk or soda at walmart. if i had a magic wand but neither side of the isle will do anything they both talk like they want jobs here or business but at the end of the day. we still havent stopped a juggernaut.

  • Satanus
    Satanus

    Who can change the direction? Nobody, until hunger and homelessness are the order of the day. The us needs to copy some of the countries it hates the most: venezeula, cuba, saddam's iraq. China, where the govt basically runs everything, is also to be emulated, to an extent. However, americans haven't discovered, yet, that they hate china.

    S

  • Aussie Oz
    Aussie Oz

    Nobody can change the direction.

    I too have seem many of these changes including a business i managed production for die because of the China factor.

    We have to adapt to the changes and start learning chinese because like it or not they will be the next world power.

    And in 150 years time they may have to start learning another language themselves...

    such is the march of human history and domination.

    oz

  • sizemik
    sizemik

    And changes are going . . .

    When I was a boy we turned a handle on the side of the telephone and a woman's voice said "number please?" . . . During the 60's we felt 'flooded' by cheap Japanese imported goods . . . much like China today. Funny, but in many ways "made in Japan" is now a stamp of quality. People still talked about "the great depression" which "changed the world forever"

    Change has been with me all my life . . . some good . . . some bad.

    Perhaps the chief concern as we move forward from here is the increased demand, and therefore cost, of resources and commodities brought about by population increase. Some negative impact in living standards will likely result. But I don't see some major unforeseen disaster resulting . . . just more change (with it's upheavals) unfolding. I invisage a gradual move toward more of a 'subsistance style' of living in many developed countries but don't see this as all bad. Consumerism and trade has been here as long as humans have and will always be.

    Natural disasters are just that . . . and always will be . . . big and small.

    Living on this Earth has never been easy . . . hence the 'paradise lost' ideology that fosters the 'divine intervention' mentality

  • ballistic
    ballistic

    Has anyone noticed how things were so looking up after the second world war, everything was becoming more modern and people were having to work less... the future was bright...

    This is how they saw the future...

    http://stephaniekirkham.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/1950s-house-of-the-future-poster-art1.jpg

    I was looking for that human colony living on the inside of a huge gigantic disc in space complete with lakes and forests if anyone knows the picture I mean...

    Geez, this futuristic looking computer was what they though the home computer would look like and they even had the foresight to give it a steering wheel!

    Unfortunately, it has now dawned on people that technology can't solve everything, our most basic antibiotics are stopping working, the cost of living is going up in most parts of the world, people are being asked to work longer by retiring later, resources and commodities are finite and running low in some cases, and the population is still rising and yet to slope off.

  • still thinking
    still thinking

    They sure are.....when I was a kid I remember when the price of milk went up to 7 cents!!!! and then ten!!! and it was delivered to the door.

    I remember thinking at the time "where will it end?" ....I know, I was an odd kid. But it baffled me how everything kept going up. Prices, wages, everything. I figured at some point it had to stop otherwise we would be carrying around wheelbarrows worth of money to buy the milk. Of course I didnt forsee the advent of the plastic fantastic. Now its a rare day that I actually see money at all.

    But that thought has never really left me. I still look at society and think "when will it end?" when will the gas run out? How long can world debt continue to grow? Where does the money come from to fund the debt? And what will happen when money is worth nothing? The trade in gold has gone haywire. Maybe someone knows something I don't? Actually, I think lots of people know stuff I don't...hee hee

    It will be different for sure....I don't know if its going to be good or bad. The only thing I do know is that there is bugger all I can do about any of it. So I may as well get on with my life.....But to be forwarned is to be forarmed....so the real trick is....how do we get on with life without burying our heads in the sand or letting the problems of the world get on top of us?

    Ballance....hmm...still figuring that one out.

  • ballistic
    ballistic

    this might be the one...

    http://www.spurgeonworld.com/blog/images/2007/spacestation.jpg

  • still thinking
    still thinking

    ballistic Ahh...the disc world...I know the books you mean.....I quite liked luggage myself

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