Service Year 2002 so far

GermanXJW

By means of km2/02 we already have the numbers for the first two months. Firstly, I looked at it because I was curious if there would be any effect of the events of Sep 11th. But when I went back down to 1993. I hope I did the format correctly. There is no preview option, is there?

You clearly see that there was a turn-over by the change of the generation teaching. 2002 will be interesting because of the WTC attack and the WT asscocition with the DPI-Department of the UNO.

Publishers in Germany in the first two months of the Service Year
Figures for FRG+GDR started in Service Year 1993

First two months of Service Year 1993
Sept 1992 159 670 Oct 1992 160 815 = Ø 160 243

First two months of Service Year 1994
Sept 1993 161 518 Oct 1993 163 768 = Ø 162 643 (+2400=1.5%)

First two months of Service Year 1995
Sept 1994 161 984 Oct 1994 165 100 = Ø 163 542 (+899=0.6%)

First two months of Service Year 1996
Sept 1995 164 946 Oct 1995 167 963 = Ø 166 455 (+2913=1.8%)

First two months of Service Year 1997
Sept 1996 165 014 Oct 1996 168 166 = Ø 166 590 (+135=0.1%)

First two months of Service Year 1998
Sept 1997 164 768 Oct 1997 166 763 = Ø 165 766 (-824=-0.5%)

First two months of Service Year 1999
Sept 1998 164 177 Oct 1998 165 775 = Ø 164 976(-790=-0.5%)

First two months of Service Year 2000
Sept 1999 161 317 Oct 1999 164 069 = Ø 162 693 (-2283 = -1.4%)

First two months of Service Year 2001
Sept 2000 160 261 Oct 2000 163 268 = Ø 161 765 (-928 = -0.6%)

First two months of Service Year 2002
Sept 2001 160 330 Oct 2001 161 431 = Ø 160 881 (-884 = -0.5%)

Frenchy

Format problems.

ozziepost

G'day GermanJW,

Thanks for the figs - very interesting to see the continuing downward trend.

Can you give us the Baptism figures. We've seen in other places, most notably in Japan, that the decreasing baptism figures signal future decreases. It's been described as a "revolving door" i.e. whilst many come into the organisation by the 'front door' (baptisms), more go out through the 'back door' ( become inactive).

Hint for posting: Use the lower case keys [ ] instead of the upper case keys < > when you are wishing to highlight.

Cheers,
Ozzie

"It's better to light a candle than to curse the darkness."
Anonymous

RunningMan

Yes, your analysis is precisely correct. It is necessary to compare each month(s) of the service year to the same month(s) in previous years.

I have noticed the same thing in Canada - a tiny increase in September, followed by the usual decrease in October. Canadian baptisms for the same period are down by 65 - a 20% decrease.

So, the Sept 11 tragedy did not have much impact on JW zeal. The rotting continues.

GermanXJW

Each board has its own format. 2nd try.

Publishers in Germany in the first two months of the Service Year
Figures for FRG+GDR started in Service Year 1993

First two months of Service Year 1993
Sept 1992 159 670 Oct 1992 160 815 = Ø 160 243

First two months of Service Year 1994
Sept 1993 161 518 Oct 1993 163 768 = Ø 162 643 (+2400=1.5%)

First two months of Service Year 1995
Sept 1994 161 984 Oct 1994 165 100 = Ø 163 542 (+899=0.6%)

First two months of Service Year 1996
Sept 1995 164 946 Oct 1995 167 963 = Ø 166 455 (+2913=1.8%)

First two months of Service Year 1997
Sept 1996 165 014 Oct 1996 168 166 = Ø 166 590 (+135=0.1%)

First two months of Service Year 1998
Sept 1997 164 768 Oct 1997 166 763 = Ø 165 766 (-824=-0.5%)

First two months of Service Year 1999
Sept 1998 164 177 Oct 1998 165 775 = Ø 164 976(-790=-0.5%)

First two months of Service Year 2000
Sept 1999 161 317 Oct 1999 164 069 = Ø 162 693 (-2283 = -1.4%)

First two months of Service Year 2001
Sept 2000 160 261 Oct 2000 163 268 = Ø 161 765 (-928 = -0.6%)

First two months of Service Year 2002
Sept 2001 160 330 Oct 2001 161 431 = Ø 160 881 (-884 = -0.5%)

metatron

This is good because it shows that the terrorism is having little
or no effect on the continuing decline - except for a small
rally in the U.S. that may prove temporary.

They must pray for death and sickness and horrors to occur
to drive people into their greedy claws.

metatron

GermanXJW

As requested here are the Baptism figures. While I cannot see any pattern to predict 2002 totals there is without a negative trend over the years.

BAPTISMS IN GERMANY (FRG+GDR)

Sep Oct Sep+Oct SYEAR Sep+Okt
% of SYEAR
1993 289 402 691 6601 10.5
1994 325 413 738 5682 13.0
1995 240 464 704 6018 12.4
1996 205 500 705 6193 11.4
1997 337 470 807 5807 13.9
1998 356 314 670 4979 13.5
1999 168 202 370 3751 9.9
2000 86 207 293 3497 8.4
2001 208 336 544 3177 17.1
2002 196 213 409 ???? ????

This is good because it shows that the terrorism is having little or no effect on the continuing decline - except for a small
rally in the U.S. that may prove temporary.

Would anyone be so kind to contribute the U.S. figures vs. some preceding years, please? Metatron is right: in the U.S. it may have a more obvious effect.

Service Year 2002 so far

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