IRAN-Deja vu all over again?

by JWdaughter 318 Replies latest social current

  • leavingwt


    Thank you for posting that link. Interesting.

    White House Calls Ahmadinejad Speech 'Predictable'

    The White House on Monday dismissed Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's speech at a UN nuclear conference as a "predictable" recitation of "wild accusations" which showed Tehran's isolation.

    White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said that it was "predictable in that Iran failed to speak about the obligations that it won't live up to."

    He said the delegations of the United States, Britain and France were right to walk out of a session of the review conference of the 1970 nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, due to "wild accusations" in Ahmadinejad's speech.

    Iran's president called for the United States to be suspended from the UN atomic watchdog's executive board.

    Washington and its allies are currently working on a set of toughened sanctions to punish Iran over its nuclear program, which the West says is designed to produce nuclear weapons, a claim Tehran denies.

  • leavingwt

    Disarmament Fantasies Help the Iranian Regime

    . . .

    One day a Pathfinder with tinted windows may park itself in Times Square with something more than propane tanks in the back seat. We may not be able to stop it. But we will live more securely if the driver of that car knows exactly what we intend to do next.

  • 5thGeneration

    leaders of the newly armed nuclear states do not calculate costs and benefits in a manner similar to the United States

    Good article.

  • freydo

    Ahmadinejad says Bin Laden is in Washington !!

  • leavingwt

    Russia Warns U.S. Against Unilateral Iran Sanctions

    Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned the United States and other Western nations on Thursday against imposing unilateral sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program, Interfax news agency reported.

    The European Union has said it may impose unilateral sanctions if a U.N. Security Council resolution fails.

    U.S. President Barack Obama's administration has been lobbying Western companies not to do business with Iran, but has not imposed sanctions against them.

    Countries facing Security Council sanctions "cannot under any circumstances be the subject of one-sided sanctions imposed by one or other government bypassing the Security Council ", Lavrov was quoted as saying by Interfax.

    "The position of the United States today does not display understanding of this absolutely clear truth."

    Russia is in talks with the United States and other U.N. Security Council members on a fourth round of sanctions. Moscow has indicated it could support broader sanctions but has stressed they must not harm the Iranian people.

    Washington has not publicly warned of unilateral sanctions but has made clear it wants tougher measures than veto-wielding Security Council member Russia is likely to accept.

    . . .

  • leavingwt

    Iran's Nuclear Coup

    What a fiasco. That's the first word that comes to mind watching Mahmoud Ahmadinejad raise his arms yesterday with the leaders of Turkey and Brazil to celebrate a new atomic pact that instantly made irrelevant 16 months of President Obama's "diplomacy." The deal is a political coup for Tehran and possibly delivers the coup de grace to the West's half-hearted efforts to stop Iran from acquiring a nuclear bomb.

    Full credit for this debacle goes to the Obama Administration and its hapless diplomatic strategy. Last October, nine months into its engagement with Tehran, the White House concocted a plan to transfer some of Iran's uranium stock abroad for enrichment. If the West couldn't stop Iran's program, the thinking was that maybe this scheme would delay it. The Iranians played coy, then refused to accept the offer.

    But Mr. Obama doesn't take no for an answer from rogue regimes, and so he kept the offer on the table. As the U.S. finally seemed ready to go to the U.N. Security Council for more sanctions, the Iranians chose yesterday to accept the deal on their own limited terms while enlisting the Brazilians and Turks as enablers and political shields. "Diplomacy emerged victorious today," declared Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, turning Mr. Obama's own most important foreign-policy principle against him.

    The double embarrassment is that the U.S. had encouraged Lula's diplomacy as a step toward winning his support for U.N. sanctions. Brazil is currently one of the nonpermanent, rotating members of the Security Council, and the U.S. has wanted a unanimous U.N. vote. Instead, Lula used the opening to triangulate his own diplomatic solution. In her first game of high-stakes diplomatic poker, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is leaving the table dressed only in a barrel.

    So instead of the U.S. and Europe backing Iran into a corner this spring, Mr. Ahmadinejad has backed Mr. Obama into one. America's discomfort is obvious. In its statement yesterday, the White House strained to "acknowledge the efforts" by Turkey and Brazil while noting "Iran's repeated failure to live up to its own commitments." The White House also sought to point out differences between yesterday's pact and the original October agreements on uranium transfers.

    Good luck drawing those distinctions with the Chinese or Russians, who will now be less likely to agree even to weak sanctions. Having played so prominent a role in last October's talks with Iran, the U.S. can't easily disassociate itself from something broadly in line with that framework.

    Under the terms unveiled yesterday, Iran said it would send 1,200 kilograms (2,646 lbs.) of low-enriched uranium to Turkey within a month, and no more than a year later get back 120 kilograms enriched from somewhere else abroad. This makes even less sense than the flawed October deal. In the intervening seven months, Iran has kicked its enrichment activities into higher gear. Its estimated total stock has gone to 2,300 kilograms from 1,500 kilograms last autumn, and its stated enrichment goal has gone to 20% from 3.5%.

    If the West accepts this deal, Iran would be allowed to keep enriching uranium in contravention of previous U.N. resolutions. Removing 1,200 kilograms will leave Iran with still enough low-enriched stock to make a bomb, and once uranium is enriched up to 20% it is technically easier to get to bomb-capable enrichment levels.

    Only last week, diplomats at the U.N.'s International Atomic Energy Agency reported that Iran has increased the number of centrifuges it is using to enrich uranium. According to Western intelligence estimates, Iran continues to acquire key nuclear components, such as trigger mechanisms for bombs. Tehran says it wants to build additional uranium enrichment plants. The CIA recently reported that Iran tripled its stockpile of uranium last year and moved "toward self-sufficiency in the production of nuclear missiles." Yesterday's deal will have no impact on these illicit activities.

    The deal will, however, make it nearly impossible to disrupt Iran's nuclear program short of military action. The U.N. is certainly a dead end. After 16 months of his extended hand and after downplaying support for Iran's democratic opposition, Mr. Obama now faces an Iran much closer to a bomb and less diplomatically isolated than when President Bush left office.

    Israel will have to seriously consider its military options. Such a confrontation is far more likely thanks to the diplomatic double-cross of Turkey's Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Brazil's Lula, and especially to a U.S. President whose diplomacy has succeeded mainly in persuading the world's rogues that he lacks the determination to stop their destructive ambitions.

  • leavingwt

    Draft Agreement Reached to Impose New Sanctions on Iran

    Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton says the United States and its partners seeking new sanctions against Iran have come up with a draft proposal for a new round of penalties.

    Clinton told a Senate committee that the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council and Germany agreed on the plan for new sanctions over Iran's nuclear program.

    She says the draft plan will be circulated at the United Nations Security Council on Tuesday.

    The U.S. has pledged that this fourth round of sanctions would be tougher than previous rounds.

  • leavingwt

    The Limits to Sanctions

    . . .

    So absent a change of heart or better yet a change of government in Tehran, the world will soon reach the long-predicted fork in the road: an Israeli or American decision to undertake a potentially risky and costly preventive military strike on Iranian nuclear installations, or an Israeli and American decision to carry out a potentially risky and costly policy of living with an Iranian nuclear weapon (or something close to it) through a mixture of deterrence and defense. And when we reach that fork in the road, as the strategist Yogi Berra once advised, we should take it.

  • leavingwt

    U.N. Says Iran Has Fuel for 2 Nuclear Weapons

    In their last report before the United Nations Security Council votes on sanctions against Iran , international nuclear inspectors declared Monday that Iran has now produced a stockpile of nuclear fuel that experts say would be enough, with further enrichment, to make two nuclear weapons .

    The report, by the International Atomic Energy Agency , a branch of the United Nations , appears likely to bolster the Obama administration’s case for a fourth round of economic sanctions against Iran and further diminish its interest in a deal, recently revived by Turkey and Brazil, in which Iran would send a portion of its nuclear stockpile out of the country.

    When Iran tentatively agreed eight months ago to ship some of its nuclear material out of the country, the White House said the deal would temporarily deprive Iran of enough fuel to make even a single weapon.

    But Iran delayed for months, and the figures contained in the inspectors’ report on Monday indicated that even if Iran now shipped the agreed-upon amount of nuclear material out of the country, it would retain enough for a single weapon, undercutting the American rationale for the deal.

    . . .

  • thetrueone

    From the Iranian perspective, they know that Israel has nuclear weaponry, they are also aware that the strongest militarized

    country in the world the US has been backing Israel for a long time now and still is one the countries biggest supporters.

    The Israeli push for more land and the dispute over those lands has cause a great amount of unease in the region.

    If a conflict erupted between these two countries who has the biggest weapon has the psychological advantage.

    also who's going to have support from whom. Well its obvious who is going to stand behind the Israelis but who is going

    to stand behind the Iranians. So you can see why the Iranian government wants to have nuclear weaponry on hand and available,

    what it comes down to it its a game of human psychology, weighed against whom has what.

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