I don't. I think they're up and down on whatever the whim of the day is. polls mean nothing right now,
Do You Believe In Presidential Polls?
by minimus 21 Replies latest jw friends
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hamilcarr
Polls aren't exact science, but they accurately registrate trends.
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minimus
If a poll says Obama is up by 6% and the next day down by 4%, c'mon.....
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stillajwexelder
The only poll that matters is the one a certain Tuesday in Early November
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BurnTheShips
If a poll says Obama is up by 6% and the next day down by 4%, c'mon.....
It happens. It is called "convention bounce". Also there is "response bias", if Palin and the convention have snapped many republican voters out of their gloom, this would also show as a bounce. BTS
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BurnTheShips
Great article on response bias:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/09/response-bias-and-shy-tory-factor.html
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minimus
And everyone pays no real attention to the convention bounce.
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BurnTheShips
And everyone pays no real attention to the convention bounce.
Well sure they do. Either way equilibrium will settle in over the next 2 weeks. Those numbers will likely point to a longer lasting trend..... Of course, one wonders what this year's "October Surprise" will be. BTS
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minimus
Which numbers?