I've read in the Watchtower, as well as observed personally, that 1% of the congregation gets disfellowshipped every year. I'm not good at the math but I figure that it's 40% since 1975 (Yes I know, they're growing). I know that quite a few return but still, there must be a large percentage of disfellowshipped JWs who will never return. Many are still mentally in but quite a few remain, out for ever, seeing it for what it is.

One thing that gives me a clue is my apartment complex. It has 120 some units and a JW manager who, of course, put mostly JWs in. There are 21 buildings of six units each. In there I have counted 1 disfellowshipped person per building! That would make it 16% compared to inactives and active JWs.

Also, I ask what percentage of a regular congregation is mentally out for sure but are still physically in for obvious reasons.

In brief, how many disfellowshipped + inactive + active **non**-believers?

I ask this question because it seems to me that one of these days (If it hasn't happened yet) disfellowshipped, inactive **and** mentally out people will outnumber the active Witnesses.

Any clues or facts?