Posts by TD

58

Probability of Earth and life being how it is

by ballistic in

jw
friends

there are some things we don't know about existence and whether the earth is a simulation or even a creation.

but we can do some statistical analysis on it.. the probability of a planet like earth existing in the goldilocks zone and having a moon that perfectly eclipses the sun is extremely low, but it's not impossible.

the habitable zone (or goldilocks zone) around a star is the region where a planet could potentially support liquid water on its surface.

TD

Probability (The branch of mathematics) has nothing to do with past events. Once an event has happened, the outcome is certain.

Even from a purely semantic standpoint, I think the question is unwittingly changed by knowledge of the past event. For example, if 1000 people enter a raffle, the odds of any randomly selected particular one of them winning (all other things being equal) are 1000 to 1.

However, once the raffle is over and person A has won, some might assert that the 1000 to 1 chance has indeed occurred, at least for person A, but the original question has now subtly been changed..

The original question: “What are the odds of any randomly selected particular person winning” has now morphed into “What are the odds of person A (the actual winner) winning”

The odds of the actual winner winning are, or course, 1. Once an event has happened, the outcome is certain.

58

Probability of Earth and life being how it is

by ballistic in

jw
friends

there are some things we don't know about existence and whether the earth is a simulation or even a creation.

but we can do some statistical analysis on it.. the probability of a planet like earth existing in the goldilocks zone and having a moon that perfectly eclipses the sun is extremely low, but it's not impossible.

the habitable zone (or goldilocks zone) around a star is the region where a planet could potentially support liquid water on its surface.

TD

Games of chance, such as you would play in a Casino revolve around the probability of predetermined outcomes. Jeffro carefully explained the distinction.

58

Probability of Earth and life being how it is

by ballistic in

jw
friends

there are some things we don't know about existence and whether the earth is a simulation or even a creation.

but we can do some statistical analysis on it.. the probability of a planet like earth existing in the goldilocks zone and having a moon that perfectly eclipses the sun is extremely low, but it's not impossible.

the habitable zone (or goldilocks zone) around a star is the region where a planet could potentially support liquid water on its surface.

TD

This means that something with the chance of less than one in 10⁶⁷ happens not only every day, millions of times every day.

^^This^^

25

Judge Arrested for Immigration Related Criminality

by Sea Breeze in

breaking: fbi director kash patel has announced the arrest of milwaukee judge hannah dugan for obstructing ice during the arrest of an illegal alien.

patel: "we believe judge dugan intentionally misdirected federal agents away from the subject to be arrested in her courthouse, eduardo flores ruiz, allowing the subject — an illegal alien — to evade arrest.".

.

TD

Anony Mous,

There's no "IF" here. Joint sessions of Congress normally happen twice a year (State of the Union address and Convention of the Electoral College) and the Capitol Building and grounds are closed on these occasions.

Constitution and Independance Avenues are closed. 1st and 3rd Streets are closed. Mobile barricades with "Area Closed" signs mark the boundaries of the protective zone established by the Secret Service.

Crossing into the protective zone, even inadvertently, is trespass although an angry shout from a police officer is about all that would normally happen, provided you complied with the order to leave. If you refuse to comply, it's no longer a misdemeanor. If you have a weapon in your possession, it was never a misdemeanor.

Like I said, I'm sympathetic to J6 defendants who were denied due process and I'm also sympathetic to any who did not realize the seriousness of what they were doing, although I think you would have to be low grade moron to fall into that category.

25

Judge Arrested for Immigration Related Criminality

by Sea Breeze in

breaking: fbi director kash patel has announced the arrest of milwaukee judge hannah dugan for obstructing ice during the arrest of an illegal alien.

patel: "we believe judge dugan intentionally misdirected federal agents away from the subject to be arrested in her courthouse, eduardo flores ruiz, allowing the subject — an illegal alien — to evade arrest.".

.

TD

I lived and worked in DC for 13 years. I've visited, the Capitol, the White House, the various memorials and monuments many, many times. I've watched Congress in session and know what it takes to be admitted to the visitor galleries

I'm sympathetic to the fact that many of the J6 defendants were not given due process, but the idea that they weren't trespassing is simply not true.

25

Judge Arrested for Immigration Related Criminality

by Sea Breeze in

breaking: fbi director kash patel has announced the arrest of milwaukee judge hannah dugan for obstructing ice during the arrest of an illegal alien.

patel: "we believe judge dugan intentionally misdirected federal agents away from the subject to be arrested in her courthouse, eduardo flores ruiz, allowing the subject — an illegal alien — to evade arrest.".

.

TD

Without commenting on the bigger picture, Eduardo Flores-Ruiz is a violent offender who's been deported once already

--A very poor choice to champion, as felony assault is without question a crime.

29

800-why-1914 helpline, Marilyn Zweifel

by coffee_black in

jw
friends

for many years, since the mid 80s, marilyn zweifel manned the help-line.

several months ago, the help-line stopped due to marilyn's serious health issues.

marilyn was hospitalized a few weeks ago.. she has serious health issues and has suffered from 2 serious falls... she is now in a nursing home.

TD

I didn't know Marilyn, but am sorry to hear of her passing...

Curious if Zweifel was her actual surname or was it assumed for the work she did (?)

Zweifel = Doubt

Ich habe meine Zweifel = I have my doubts

17

Can someone remind me the reason's you could be disfellowshipped?

by SydBarrett in

jw
friends

the only reasons i can remember are smoking, sexual immorality and of course, apostasy.

there must be others but having been out since 1990, i'm drawing a blank.

i was thinking perhaps serious criminal offenses that result in prison, but then i remembered a brother in my congregation in the 1980's who went to prison.

TD

Joining the military would result in "Disassociation" which is technically different than "Disfellowhipping" although the end result is pretty much the same

This was the workaround to avoid a repeat of 1918

27

God’s wisdom in allowing bearded JWs July 25 Watchtower

by Listener in

the july 2025 watchtower has a paragraph that claims that it was the superior power and wisdom of jehovah that guided the gb into allowing jws to grow beards.. the study article is ‘can you still learn from basic bible teachings?’ under the subheading ‘jehovah is the creator’ paragraph 7 states-.

“ 7. what did rahela do to accept a change in direction?.

your answer.

TD

Beards have been a mark of (male) degreed professionals for at least the last 20 years.

Take Bob Borson, author of the popular blog and podcast "Life of an Architect" for example

Or Matt Harris, Assistant Professor of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering at USU:

--Nothing even the least bit unusual here.

(Sometimes I think certain posters are deliberately channeling Ken M.....)

95

Trump Tariffs started today, Some Countries Caved in early morning.

by liam in

usa politicians in charge of the economy for the past 50 years were too stupid to understand how the economy works.

this just proves my theory, that an education on the top tier universities just sucks and means nothing in the real world, unless its in the stem education.

for 50 years usa had zero tariffs on other countries.

TD

Rivergang,

It also includes primary industries...

Okay...My observation, as an engineer here in the land of Orbital ATK, Dillon Aero, Raytheon, etc., is that automation has not eliminated the "good" jobs.

The days of standing at a machine all day are gone, but human beings are involved in every step of any manufacturing process and are still very much the brains of the operation.