Realist

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Posts by Realist

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  83

  World War 1 and 1914

  by Schizm in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  .

  how did it just so happen that a world war took place in the very year that russell had attached so much importance to?

  i realize that he expected 1914 to see the end of the world's governments, and of course that didn't happen, but it still seems to be quite remarkable that this war happened that very year ... a war that would later be construed to be the fulfillment of jesus' prediction in matthew 24:7.. the explanation given on the e-watchman site is that satan deliberately caused the war to happen so as to mislead jehovah's witnesses into thinking they had actually seen the fulfillment of bible prophecy, in order to make them think that jesus had returned invisably.. any ideas?.

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  Realist

  schizm,

  indeed, i assume satan does not control all dice on the planet or probability theory. do you?
• 
  83

  World War 1 and 1914

  by Schizm in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  .

  how did it just so happen that a world war took place in the very year that russell had attached so much importance to?

  i realize that he expected 1914 to see the end of the world's governments, and of course that didn't happen, but it still seems to be quite remarkable that this war happened that very year ... a war that would later be construed to be the fulfillment of jesus' prediction in matthew 24:7.. the explanation given on the e-watchman site is that satan deliberately caused the war to happen so as to mislead jehovah's witnesses into thinking they had actually seen the fulfillment of bible prophecy, in order to make them think that jesus had returned invisably.. any ideas?.

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  Realist

  schizm,

  allright...if you throw two dice and both land on 6 do you attribute this to a higher power or to mere chance?

  in the 20th century (100 years) there were MANY events to which a certain meaning could have been attributed. to list a few:

  1914 WWI starts

  1918 WWI ends

  1929 black friday

  1939 WWII begins

  1945 WWII ends

  1990 end of USSR

  = 6 events

  compare this to 1914, 1918, 1925, 1975, 1999

  = 5 predictions.

  the prob of not hitting one of these events is thus: 94! * 95! / (100! * 89!) = 0.73 = 73%

  thus you have a prob of 27% of hitting one of the events. compare to this the prob of hitting two 6 with the dice = 1/6 * 1/6 = 3%

  so which is more likely?
• 
  83

  World War 1 and 1914

  by Schizm in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  .

  how did it just so happen that a world war took place in the very year that russell had attached so much importance to?

  i realize that he expected 1914 to see the end of the world's governments, and of course that didn't happen, but it still seems to be quite remarkable that this war happened that very year ... a war that would later be construed to be the fulfillment of jesus' prediction in matthew 24:7.. the explanation given on the e-watchman site is that satan deliberately caused the war to happen so as to mislead jehovah's witnesses into thinking they had actually seen the fulfillment of bible prophecy, in order to make them think that jesus had returned invisably.. any ideas?.

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  Realist

  schizm,

  what do you want to hear? that this was an amazing prediction and that coincidence cannot possibly be the explanation? fine! believe it if that floats your boat!
• 
  83

  World War 1 and 1914

  by Schizm in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  .

  how did it just so happen that a world war took place in the very year that russell had attached so much importance to?

  i realize that he expected 1914 to see the end of the world's governments, and of course that didn't happen, but it still seems to be quite remarkable that this war happened that very year ... a war that would later be construed to be the fulfillment of jesus' prediction in matthew 24:7.. the explanation given on the e-watchman site is that satan deliberately caused the war to happen so as to mislead jehovah's witnesses into thinking they had actually seen the fulfillment of bible prophecy, in order to make them think that jesus had returned invisably.. any ideas?.

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  Realist

  well if i remember this correctly, they predicted at least 5 times the end of the world inbetween 1880 and 1975. simple statistics tells you that they practically had to hit at least one major event that took place over this time period.
• 
  4

  anyone heard Eminem's new anti bush song?

  by Realist in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  what i understood from the lyrics its pretty good!.

  just too late for the election!

  is it even broadcasted in the us?

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  Realist

  is that song playing in the US???
• 
  4

  anyone heard Eminem's new anti bush song?

  by Realist in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  what i understood from the lyrics its pretty good!.

  just too late for the election!

  is it even broadcasted in the us?

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• 

  Realist

  what i understood from the lyrics its pretty good!

  just too late for the election!

  is it even broadcasted in the US?
• 
  39

  how about you?

  by teejay in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  1. scrambled or sunny-side up?

  "early bird" or "night owl"?

  3. be polite or honest?

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  Realist

  1. Scrambled or sunny-side up? don't care
  2. "Early bird" or "night owl"? night owl !!!
  3. Be polite or honest? depends on the person
  4. Do you prefer blonds, brunettes or redheads? brunettes/black
  5. Coffee or tea? coffee
  6. Introvert or extrovert? medium
  7. PJs or nekkid? what is nekkid?
  8. Comedies or dramas? comedies
  9. Superman or Batman? neither
  10. Chocolate or vanilla? chocolate
  11. Dogs or cats? CATS!
  12. Penthouse in the center of a big city or ranch house out in the country? penthouse
  13. On top or on bottom? hmmm
  14. Is there a kiss you'll always remember? What's her/his name? What year was it? Where were you? What were they wearing? yes; joanna; ....
  15. Color photos or black & white? color
  16. Mickey Mouse or Mighty Mouse? neither
  17. Cynical or idealistic? depends
  18. Religious or anti? anti !!!
  19. Summer or winter? summer
  20. Liberal or Conservative? liberal
  21. Quiet night at home or out on the town? home
  22. Beer or wine? milk
  23. Optimistic or pessimistic? optimistic
  24. Traditional furniture or Contemporary? contemporary
  25. Are you a facts or an ideas person? facts
  26. If you were an animal, what would you be? hummingbird
  27. If you were a musical instrument, what would you be? piano
  28. Home in the mountains or on the beach? mountains
  29. T-shirt and jeans or tuxedo? t-shirt and jeans
  30. Face-to-face or spoon? hmmmm
  31. Hand wash the dishes or use the dishwasher? dishwasher!!!
  32. Favorite color? blue
• 
  18

  THICHI

  by Realist in

  1. social
  2. current

  .

  ok here is your thread.... so what is your standpoint on evolution and big bang?

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  Realist

  kls,

  i know i know!

  thichi,

  I have been very interested in Cremo?s evidence. And have in fact, posted his comments to me and replies to from questions asked here.

  Here is a paper Cremo presented that has raised some very powerful questions:

  perhaps you can elaborate on that. why is this paper of interest to you? what are your conclusions from the paper?
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  149

  Tons Of Iraq Explosives Missing

  by teejay in

  1. social
  2. current

  tons of iraq explosives missing

  material could be used as nuclear trigger .

  cnn) -- some 380 tons of explosives powerful enough to detonate nuclear warheads are missing from a former iraqi military facility that was supposed to be under american control, the u.n.'s nuclear watchdog says.

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  Realist

  thichi,

  i opened a thread for you...now you can share your wisdom!
• 
  18

  THICHI

  by Realist in

  1. social
  2. current

  .

  ok here is your thread.... so what is your standpoint on evolution and big bang?

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  Realist

  ok here is your thread...

  so what is your standpoint on evolution and big bang?