the economy doesn't have to "tank":
scenario 1- you are in a foreclosure situation and it's the end of the world. No, it isn't :)
My congress-critter told us in a town meeting that over a million loans have been rearranged to keep people in their houses IF THEY CAN MAKE THE PAYMENTS THEY NOW HAVE. That was back in about March-April.
If you have the guts/balls to stand up and yell at your banker/call your congressman, having heard about it in a timely manner, you can get that ARM rewritten.
The bank doesn't want your property or another black mark on it's record. If you can keep on, keepin' on, like you have been, they will look the other way.
[I've been in foreclosure and 'saved the ranch'; I've been in Bankruptcy Court (as a Creditor) and heard Judges grant "Relief from Stays". Either way, you have at least 90 days to yell. And some of those in Bankruptcy Court said that they had been contacted by the bank already. The Judge
granted the Relief from Stay, anyway, saying that you have plenty of time and that the bank is freer to talk to you without the Stay. If you can't save yourself, having the money, you're uninformed or stupid.]
What happens to the ARM? The banks are being forced to 'internalize' them or face failure. It becomes their problem; but they'll lose a tiny single digit percentage, instead of 100% of a deal this way. The clown that set it up in the first place may be gone and probably nobody will bother him if he isn't. It may be some fly-by-night phone sales boiler room. Lot's of those have shut down already.
Scenario 2- Bailouts
I'll quote what-ah from another post:
There are many instances of the Government bailing out private/public industry at a profit:
Lockheed - 1971
New York City 1975
1982 The "Big Three"
1994 Mexico bail Out
Keep in mind that AIG is getting a bridge loan at 11%. That's practically Hard money.
700 Billion to cover potential write downs? I see profit.
http://www.jehovahs-witness.com/6/165710/2.ashx
If every body is careful and doesn't lose their head, I see the economy coming out of this and going strong again.
As I understand McCain, he wants to keep on doing what's been going on. That includes de-regulation. That needs to be reversed. It seems to me that McCain is confusing DEREGULATING INSTITUTIONS with other laws that impede INDIVIDUAL FREEDOMS. The two are NOT THE SAME. Nothing could be further from the truth.
The de-regulation OF INSTITUTIONS (especially FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS) that was the darling of the last 2 or 3 decades has led to this and the FINANCIAL INSTITUTES need a harsh dose of regulation restored to them.
The thoughts of the other poster that mentioned the speculators involved in gas prices and moving on to greener pastures may also have a powerful bearing on this.
It's a far cry from INTERFERING WITH INDIVIDUAL FREEDOMS to allowing INSTITUTIONS TO RUN AMUCK WITH IRRESPONSIBILITY.
It's like the old story of the Delphian Oracle: the king goes and asks will I prevail in battle. The oracle answers: a kingdom will be won. He goes out confidently and loses; his kingdom was won by the other side.
Fortunes are being lost; but fortunes will be made at the same time. Business as usual will be going on in a few years, but different people will be in charge.
Mustang