The end of the 2006 (dis)Service Year / Statistics

by Skimmer 14 Replies latest jw friends

• 

  TheListener

  From the numbers I put in my post, which are current for the first part of this service year they should only be expecting an increase between 0 and 1%.

  Also, to get a 9% increase they'd have to baptize 90,000 people during the service year! For the months posted they've only averaged 2,149 a month bapitzed. If they baptized more than usual they'd be crowing about it in the KMs. (to reach a baptism number of 90,000 they'd need to baptize 7,500 a month - about 5,000 is their summertime max +/-).

  I will agree that in the past the increase and growth of the organization seems to follow the increase/decrease in bible studies. It remains to be seen whether they truly attain the growth they desire with the new publication.
• 

  Skimmer

  The Service year used to start on October first. When did they change it?
• 

  TheListener

  I was able to get the following numbers during a midnight raid on my wife's meeting bag:

  February 2006 - 1,001,469 with 1,109 baptized

  March 2006 - 1,010,868 with 1,589 baptized

  April 2006 - 1,008,967 with 2,609 baptized (April 2006 is ?? 'cause I heard noises and thought the jig was up). It was just the wind.

  Anyone have numbers for the missing months for this service year? At least up to what's been published in the KMs?
• 

  greendawn

  I agree that primarily people come into the real truth under the guidance of the Holy Spirit and not by receiving regularly any food from a FDS "the Paraclete will guide you in all the truth", and the Ethiopian after going back to his country had no FDS there to feed him. By now the public in the developped world realises that the JWs are a big con so they have to turn to the naive third world or ex communist countries to achieve increases. But they do not dare enter the Moslem world.
• 

  TheListener

  Thanks to a pm someone sent me we can now compare 10 months of the current service year to last year's service report. thank you so much for the pm.

  2005-2006 service year
  Month	Pubs.	Bptz
  Sep-05	1,001,583	1,612
  Oct-05	997,714	2,152
  Nov-05	989,543	2,683
  Dec-05	1,008,905	1,635
  Jan-06	1,001,150	1,534
  Feb-06	1,001,469	1,109
  Mar-06	1,010,868	1,589
  Apr-06	1,008,967	2,609
  May-06	1,011,524	2,478
  Jun-06	995,639	2,864
  Jul-06
  Aug-06
  Avg.	1,002,736	2,027
  Total		20,265
  2004-2005 service year
  Month	Publs.	Bptz
  Sep-04	990,551	1,791
  Oct-04	993,476	2,680
  Nov-04	990,086	2,331
  Dec-04	997,250	1,923
  Jan-05	990,365	1,419
  Feb-05	984,747	1,441
  Mar-05	992,732	2,056
  Apr-05	1,004,310	2,543
  May-05	991,450	2,009
  Jun-05	973,710	2,737
  Jul-05	996,368	5,323
  Aug-05	1,035,082	2,126
  Avg.	995,011	2,365
  Total		28,379

  What do we see?

  A couple things:

  1. In august of 2005 there was a major jump in the number of publishers reporting. Hmmm, sounds suspiciously like a "get out the vote" campaign. Notice that in September 2005 (the first month of the following service year) the number dropped some 34,000.

  2. With only two months to go they are only averaging about 7,000 more than last year. Of course, with the sudden surge of publishers that happens every August we'll see that average raise somewhat.

  3. The average baptisms are down. They need to baptize about 8,000 people in July and August to meet the same growth rate as last year. The growth rate was less than 1% last year and showed as 0% in the yearly report. They may just make getting a 0% again or maybe just maybe get a -1%. That would be an exciting announcement. And yes, you are correct July and August occur during prime District Convention months so the number of baptisms should increase dramatically. Even with that, by reviewing previous years, there isn't a precedent that could find in recent years (post 1995) where 8,000 individuals were baptized in two consecutive months. We'll see.

  I don't see the society posting any huge gains and dramatic successes this year. Am I missing something?