Ray Kurzweil Prediction's For The Future

by Brokeback Watchtower 3 Replies latest social current

  • Brokeback Watchtower
    Brokeback Watchtower

    Type his name into your search engine. He's seems to gave a pretty good track record.

    Ray Kurzweil
    American Author
    Raymond Kurzweil is an American inventor, and futurist. He is involved in fields such as optical character recognition, text-to-speech synthesis, speech recognition technology, and electronic keyboard instruments. He has written books on health, artificial intelligence, transhumanism, the technological singularity, and futurism. Kurzweil is a public advocate

    So I think he could be somewhat of an authority on the subjects he speaks about.


    The Age of Intelligent Machines[edit]

    Kurzweil's first book, The Age of Intelligent Machines, was published in 1990. It forecast the demise of the already crumpling Soviet Union due to new technologies such as cellular phones and fax machines disempowering authoritarian governments by removing state control over the flow of information.[1] In 2005, Mikhail Gorbachev told Kurzweil that emerging decentralized electronic communication "was a big factor" for fostering democracy in the Soviet Union.[2]
    Kurzweil extrapolated the performance of chess software to predict that computers would beat the best human players "by the year 2000".[3] In May 1997 chess World Champion Garry Kasparov was defeated by IBM's Deep Blue computer in a well-publicized chess tournament.[4]
    Perhaps most significantly, Kurzweil foresaw the explosive growth in worldwide Internet use that began in the 1990s.[5] At the time of the publication of The Age of Intelligent Machines, there were only 2.6 million Internet users in the world,[6] and the medium was often unreliable outside academic, military, corporate and other heavily invested settings, difficult for non-technical users to use, and mostly lacking a broad range of content. He also stated that the Internet would explode not only in the number of users but in content as well, eventually granting users access "to international networks of libraries, data bases, and information services".[This quote needs a citation] Additionally, Kurzweil correctly foresaw that the preferred mode of Internet access would inevitably be through wireless systems, and he was also correct to estimate that the latter would become practical for widespread use in the early 21st century.[citation needed]

    The Age of Spiritual Machines[edit]

    In 1999, Kurzweil published a second book titled The Age of Spiritual Machines, which goes into more depth explaining his futurist ideas. The third and final section of the book is devoted to elucidating the specific course of technological advancements Kurzweil believes the world will experience over the next century. Titled "To Face the Future", the section is divided into four chapters respectively named "2009", "2019", "2029", and "2099". For every chapter, Kurzweil issues predictions about what life and technology will be like in that year.[citation needed]

  • waton

    The author's name has an ironic meaning in german, "short duration". most prediction, prophecies turn out that way.

  • Brokeback Watchtower
    Brokeback Watchtower

    Got to admit our way of life will change exponentially in the future.


  • Brokeback Watchtower
    Brokeback Watchtower

    I think that with AI overtaking human intelligence is bound to happen it is just a matter of when. As they reverse engineer the human brain and discover more and more about human intelligence on the nanoscale. They will be able to build a intelligence without any emotional biases(that eat up processing power) like the human mind has.

    AI with rights just like human beings, I'm sure a merging of humans with machine on the nanoscale will keep on progressing to the point of reaching some type of singularity it is just a matter of when and there is no turning back.

    I kind of see it as a person choice some will not want to merge on the nanoscale but as time goes on they will be fewer and fewer because the advantages will out weigh the disadvantages by a wide margin.

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