"Polar Bear Politics" - there are more bears than ever

by Bonnie_Clyde 6 Replies latest jw friends

  • Bonnie_Clyde
    Bonnie_Clyde

    http://britishexpats.com/forum/showthread.php?t=416709

    I don't know how to turn the above into a link. This article was printed in the Walled Street Journal on 1-3-07. This article criticizes a study that found that the bear population had declined by 25% in Western Hudson Bay in the last decade. It states that in many parts of Canada, "polar bears are very abundant and productive. In some areas, they are overly abundant." There are 4 or 5 times as many polar bears today than there were 40 years ago.

    "Using an 'endangered' species to change energy policy."

  • Bonnie_Clyde
    Bonnie_Clyde

    It did turn into a link after all.

  • Frank75
    Frank75
    ...because there are in fact more polar bears in the world now than there were 40 years ago, as the nearby chart shows. The main threat to polar bears in recent decades has been from hunting, with estimates as low as 5,000 to 10,000 bears in the 1950s and 1960s. But
    thanks to conservation efforts, and some cross-border cooperation among the U.S., Canada and Russia, the best estimate today is that the polar bear population is 20,000 to 25,000.

    I pointed out as much in the thread about hysteria over global warning. http://www.jehovahs-witness.com/6/130204/1.ashx

    The thread is dead now but the wankers pushing this agenda are still alive and well.

    Frank75

  • dilaceratus
    dilaceratus

    New Scientist's "Climate change: A guide for the perplexed", twenty-six articles on the most common climate change myths. (Read polar bear article with links, here.)

    Climate myths: Polar bear numbers are increasing

    * 17:00 16 May 2007

    * NewScientist.com news service

    * Phil McKenna

    Polar bears have become the poster children of global warming. The bears spend most or all of the year living and hunting on sea ice, and the accelerating shrinking of this ice appears to pose a serious threat. The issue has even become politically sensitive.

    Yet recently there have been claims that polar bear populations are increasing. So what's going on? There are thought to be between 20,000 and 25,000 polar bears in 19 population groups around the Arctic. While polar bear numbers are increasing in two of these populations, two others are definitely in decline. We don't really know how the rest of the populations are faring, so the truth is that no one can say for sure how overall numbers are changing.

    The two populations that are increasing, both in north-eastern Canada, were severely reduced by hunting in the past and are recovering thanks to the protection they and their prey now enjoy.

    The best-studied population, in Canada’s western Hudson Bay, fell by 22% from 1194 animals in 1987 to 935 in 2004, according to the US Fish and Wildlife Service. A second group in the Beaufort Sea, off Alaska’s north coast, is now experiencing the same pattern of reduced adult weights and cub survival as the Hudson Bay group.

    A comprehensive review (pdf) by the US Fish and Wildlife Service concluded that shrinking sea ice is the primary cause for the decline seen in these populations, and it recently proposed listing polar bears as threatened (pdf) under the Endangered Species Act. The International Conservation Union projects the bears' numbers will drop by 30% by 2050 (pdf) due to continued loss of Arctic sea ice.

  • Frank75
    Frank75

    Sorry, I don't want this thread to turn into another name calling back and forth he said she said!

    On the other thread on Global Warming hysteria, the "Al Gore" side were adamant the so called scientific view of New Scientist was it could not be trusted as a reliable source.

    Something the venerable Wiki is supportive of:

    In September 2006, NewScientist drew criticism from the writer Greg Egan, who distributed a public letter stating that "a sensationalist bent and a lack of basic knowledge by its writers" was making the magazine's coverage sufficiently unreliable "to constitute a real threat to the public understanding of science".

    But when it suits the agenda, out it comes again as presto, an authoritative source nonetheless! And admittedly the Polar Bear "poster boy" is being used effectively to prove that we are the cause of Global warming (or more recent "Climate Change" which covers all bases conveniently) and that if we all buy Prias we will save him and the planet to boot the same way Iraq was responsible for 9/11.

    The quote above about Polar Bears actually proves nothing. 2 populations are rising, 2 are supposedly falling. Out of some 21 Arctic populations that is hardly acceptable proof of anything!

    We are supposed to believe from that the Polar bear is doomed and has never had any challenges in its survival or adaptation in its long history in the Arctic!

    Well here’s a different point of view, that of polar bear biologist Mitch Taylor as reported by Margaret Wente of the Globe & Mail:

    The polar bear population has rebounded since the early 1990s, when — thanks to the environmental movement — tight new restrictions were imposed on hunting. The world polar bear population is estimated at between 22,000 and 24,000, of which two-thirds are in Canada. Of our 13 distinct subpopulations, 11 are stable or increasing in number.

    They're not going extinct, or even appear to be affected at present, says Dr. Taylor.The climate in parts of the Arctic is definitely changing. In Hudson Bay, for example, the polar ice pack failed to consolidate for the second year in a row. The bear population in western Hudson Bay has been declining. But the connection between those two facts is unclear. The polar bears in southern Hudson Bay seem fine. In Igloolik, the ice is breaking up earlier, but the bears are abundant. In some southern areas, there are so many bears they're harassing the people. And don't worry yet about the ice cap. Nothing has melted it for 30 million years.

    Regardless of what or who is behind the rhetoric, the climate is changing and has been changing throughout earths history. Man may be to blame, partly, wholly or not at all! However man will not be able to reverse it through more tinkering as is shown in the Sourcerers Aprentice! We are just not as all powerful as we would delude ourselves into thinking.

    We must accept the reality of the situation we are in and stop pointing the fingers at the very structure that has provided us the best standard of living the planet has experienced since humans first stood upright!

    Yes we need to be responsible with our resources and all evidence points to the fact that we are becoming better stewards, but we need to be realistic too, which requires honesty and frankness, not Mary Poppins!

    Polar bears seem remarkably adaptable to climate change. Biologists think they probably evolved from brown bears that got stranded on the ice a couple of hundred thousand years ago. Since then, they've survived both warmer times and colder times than these. As Dr. Taylor says, ‘They've been through this before.’It's even possible that Arctic warming might benefit some bears by increasing their food supply. A reduction in the ice cover might create a better habitat for seals, which are the bears' main food. Less ice cover would also let more sunlight into the water, which would produce more phytoplankton, which might increase the supply of other potential food. On land, blueberries, which bears adore, might become more abundant in more places. Dr. Taylor has seen bears so full of blueberries they waddle.

    The Polar Bear is an example of the positives of change. Animals must react after the fact but we as humans can anticipate and make preparations for adaptation as opposed to hoping some miracle or divine intervention will make things all better taking us back to the pioneer times in the process.

    Really which makes more sense after thinking it through with the Rose colored glasses off?

    Dr Taylor is Nunavut's manager of wildlife.(Another interview with him here that deals with US Wildlife warning) Before you yell "foul", consider that an ecological disaster involving the Polar Bear would mean more money and prominence for him. Speaking the way he has is actually against his personal enrichment and advance. That is usually what happens when someone tells the truth isn't it?

    Frank75

  • AlanF
    AlanF

    Good points, Frank75. No one really knows the effects of global warming on polar bears in the long run, but the fact that they've survived several interglacial periods indicates that the fears are probably overblown. In the last interglacial period, which began roughly 120,000 years ago, climate became significantly warmer than it is today, to the extent that sea levels were about six meters higher than now. Of course, such a high sea level stand would be catastrophic for many cities, but that's another issue.

    AlanF

  • Frank75
    Frank75

    Thanks Alan.

    On the Hysteria debate I could have used some of your analytic style to answer some of the rhetoric being spewed. Every scientist I mentioned was discreditied because they worked for Exxon or some such unproven nonesense.

    The argumentation was classic special pleading, straw man and ad hominem attacks.

    Maybe the debate will be revived yet again!

    Frank75

Share this

Google+
Pinterest
Reddit