I have a science and math background so I naturally want to quantify things, model things, and analyze things.
I have heard folks here frequently discuss the pendulum swing of the JW. For awhile they are full of zeal. They perform all their duties flawlessly. They really feel good about their faith and their prospects of salvation. Then after awhile they come back down and are less enthusiastic. They don't go out in service as much. They openly express their frustrations and doubts even to an unbelieving mate! Then they swing back.
So how long do the up swings last?
How about the down swings?
How much time is usually between an upswing and a downswing?
What are the trends that we should look for and what do they say about the person's overall prospects of being ready to question the JW as God's religion?
Any thoughts, observations on this subject would be greatly appreciated.